Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% on President Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting dismissal of partisan speculation like Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of post-midterm frustration leading to a voluntary exit amid potential investigations if Democrats gain congressional majorities in November 2026. No official statements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings have emerged to challenge this view, despite unsubstantiated viral rumors of health issues in early April—promptly denied by the White House—and ongoing Iran conflict strains since late February airstrikes, including U.S. casualties and threats of further escalation. Trump's pattern of confronting opposition without yielding, alongside stable Republican Senate control, underpins the high implied probability, though midterm outcomes or late-breaking scandals could shift dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$15,444 交易量
$15,444 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$15,444 交易量
$15,444 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% on President Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting dismissal of partisan speculation like Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of post-midterm frustration leading to a voluntary exit amid potential investigations if Democrats gain congressional majorities in November 2026. No official statements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings have emerged to challenge this view, despite unsubstantiated viral rumors of health issues in early April—promptly denied by the White House—and ongoing Iran conflict strains since late February airstrikes, including U.S. casualties and threats of further escalation. Trump's pattern of confronting opposition without yielding, alongside stable Republican Senate control, underpins the high implied probability, though midterm outcomes or late-breaking scandals could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
交易量
$15,444結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% on President Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting dismissal of partisan speculation like Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of post-midterm frustration leading to a voluntary exit amid potential investigations if Democrats gain congressional majorities in November 2026. No official statements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings have emerged to challenge this view, despite unsubstantiated viral rumors of health issues in early April—promptly denied by the White House—and ongoing Iran conflict strains since late February airstrikes, including U.S. casualties and threats of further escalation. Trump's pattern of confronting opposition without yielding, alongside stable Republican Senate control, underpins the high implied probability, though midterm outcomes or late-breaking scandals could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$15,444結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% on President Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting dismissal of partisan speculation like Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of post-midterm frustration leading to a voluntary exit amid potential investigations if Democrats gain congressional majorities in November 2026. No official statements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings have emerged to challenge this view, despite unsubstantiated viral rumors of health issues in early April—promptly denied by the White House—and ongoing Iran conflict strains since late February airstrikes, including U.S. casualties and threats of further escalation. Trump's pattern of confronting opposition without yielding, alongside stable Republican Senate control, underpins the high implied probability, though midterm outcomes or late-breaking scandals could shift dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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