Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic IPOing first at 65% implied probability, driven by its explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized—tripling in months amid enterprise dominance with Claude—contrasting OpenAI's slowing expansion and $14 billion annual cash burn. Recent reports highlight OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar's warnings that a Q4 2026 public debut is overly aggressive, citing massive compute commitments exceeding $100 billion by 2028 and organizational hurdles, while Anthropic advances preparations with bankers eyeing a $60 billion raise at $380 billion valuation as early as October. Both AI labs race toward late-2026 listings, but Anthropic's unit economics edge and lack of internal rifts position it to set public market multiples first, with resolution hinging on SEC filings and market conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic
$52,688 交易量
$52,688 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
$52,688 交易量
$52,688 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic IPOing first at 65% implied probability, driven by its explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized—tripling in months amid enterprise dominance with Claude—contrasting OpenAI's slowing expansion and $14 billion annual cash burn. Recent reports highlight OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar's warnings that a Q4 2026 public debut is overly aggressive, citing massive compute commitments exceeding $100 billion by 2028 and organizational hurdles, while Anthropic advances preparations with bankers eyeing a $60 billion raise at $380 billion valuation as early as October. Both AI labs race toward late-2026 listings, but Anthropic's unit economics edge and lack of internal rifts position it to set public market multiples first, with resolution hinging on SEC filings and market conditions.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$52,688結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic IPOing first at 65% implied probability, driven by its explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized—tripling in months amid enterprise dominance with Claude—contrasting OpenAI's slowing expansion and $14 billion annual cash burn. Recent reports highlight OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar's warnings that a Q4 2026 public debut is overly aggressive, citing massive compute commitments exceeding $100 billion by 2028 and organizational hurdles, while Anthropic advances preparations with bankers eyeing a $60 billion raise at $380 billion valuation as early as October. Both AI labs race toward late-2026 listings, but Anthropic's unit economics edge and lack of internal rifts position it to set public market multiples first, with resolution hinging on SEC filings and market conditions.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$52,688結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic IPOing first at 65% implied probability, driven by its explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized—tripling in months amid enterprise dominance with Claude—contrasting OpenAI's slowing expansion and $14 billion annual cash burn. Recent reports highlight OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar's warnings that a Q4 2026 public debut is overly aggressive, citing massive compute commitments exceeding $100 billion by 2028 and organizational hurdles, while Anthropic advances preparations with bankers eyeing a $60 billion raise at $380 billion valuation as early as October. Both AI labs race toward late-2026 listings, but Anthropic's unit economics edge and lack of internal rifts position it to set public market multiples first, with resolution hinging on SEC filings and market conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions