誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？

Name: 誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？
Start: 2025-12-12T00:45:56.620Z
End: 2026-02-28T00:00:00.000Z

政治·聯合國

誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？

雷貝卡·格林斯潘 40.9%

賈辛達·阿德恩 25.1%

米歇爾·巴切萊特 19%

克里斯塔利娜·格奧爾基耶娃 4.0%

$35,070 交易量

2026-02-28

雷貝卡·格林斯潘

$378 交易量

41%

賈辛達·阿德恩

$362 交易量

25%

米歇爾·巴切萊特

$15,568 交易量

19%

克里斯塔利娜·格奧爾基耶娃

$278 交易量

24%

大衛·喬克瓦恩卡

$446 交易量

武克·耶雷米奇

$389 交易量

科隆布·卡恩-薩爾瓦多

$531 交易量

阿希姆·施泰納

$440 交易量

Alicia Bárcena

$282 交易量

布魯諾·多納特

$369 交易量

28%

瑪麗亞·費爾南達·埃斯皮諾薩·加爾塞斯

$416 交易量

42%

米婭·莫特利

$313 交易量

33%

拉斐爾·格羅西

$13,477 交易量

阿米娜·穆罕默德

$1,822 交易量

44%

雷貝卡·格林斯潘 40.9%

賈辛達·阿德恩 25.1%

米歇爾·巴切萊特 19%

克里斯塔利娜·格奧爾基耶娃 4.0%

$35,070 交易量

2026-02-28

雷貝卡·格林斯潘

$378 交易量

41%

賈辛達·阿德恩

$362 交易量

25%

米歇爾·巴切萊特

$15,568 交易量

19%

克里斯塔利娜·格奧爾基耶娃

$278 交易量

24%

大衛·喬克瓦恩卡

$446 交易量

武克·耶雷米奇

$389 交易量

科隆布·卡恩-薩爾瓦多

$531 交易量

阿希姆·施泰納

$440 交易量

Alicia Bárcena

$282 交易量

布魯諾·多納特

$369 交易量

28%

瑪麗亞·費爾南達·埃斯皮諾薩·加爾塞斯

$416 交易量

42%

米婭·莫特利

$313 交易量

33%

拉斐爾·格羅西

$13,477 交易量

阿米娜·穆罕默德

$1,822 交易量

44%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "阿米娜·穆罕默德" at 44%, followed by "瑪麗亞·費爾南達·埃斯皮諾薩·加爾塞斯" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？" has generated $35.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？" is "阿米娜·穆罕默德" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "瑪麗亞·費爾南達·埃斯皮諾薩·加爾塞斯" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $35.1K traded on “誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 44¢ for "阿米娜·穆罕默德" in the "誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 44% chance that "阿米娜·穆罕默德" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 44¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 56¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？" market has a growing discussion of 3 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？

誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長？

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規則

盤口背景

評論 (3)

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Frequently Asked Questions

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