Trader consensus on the White House X account's post volume for March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 140-199, reflecting blended expectations from the narrow 2024 presidential election odds where Donald Trump holds a slight edge at about 55% implied probability. Historical data shows Biden-era weekly totals averaging 150-170 posts, driven by routine policy updates, event announcements, and agency highlights, while Trump White House accounts in 2017-2021 often exceeded 180 amid high-activity periods. This race stays competitive due to unresolved election catalysts like final polls and debates, with certification in December potentially shifting baselines toward higher volumes under a more social media-active administration. Upcoming electoral college votes could widen spreads if clarity emerges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於白宮# post 2026年3月20日至3月27日?
白宮# post 2026年3月20日至3月27日?
160-179 24%
140-159 21%
180-199 18%
200+ 17%
$10,097 交易量
$10,097 交易量
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
4%
100-119
8%
120-139
11%
140-159
21%
160-179
24%
180-199
18%
200+
17%
160-179 24%
140-159 21%
180-199 18%
200+ 17%
$10,097 交易量
$10,097 交易量
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
4%
100-119
8%
120-139
11%
140-159
21%
160-179
24%
180-199
18%
200+
17%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the White House X account's post volume for March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 140-199, reflecting blended expectations from the narrow 2024 presidential election odds where Donald Trump holds a slight edge at about 55% implied probability. Historical data shows Biden-era weekly totals averaging 150-170 posts, driven by routine policy updates, event announcements, and agency highlights, while Trump White House accounts in 2017-2021 often exceeded 180 amid high-activity periods. This race stays competitive due to unresolved election catalysts like final polls and debates, with certification in December potentially shifting baselines toward higher volumes under a more social media-active administration. Upcoming electoral college votes could widen spreads if clarity emerges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions