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地緣政治·以色列

哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？

Market icon
地緣政治·以色列

哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？

$88,685 交易量

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$88,685 交易量

Polymarket
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北韓

$0 交易量

5%

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古巴

$0 交易量

6%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$3,350 交易量

9%

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黎巴嫩

$0 交易量

6%

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阿富汗

$0 交易量

6%

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伊拉克

$0 交易量

5%

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巴基斯坦

$0 交易量

7%

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敘利亞

$4,318 交易量

9%

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委內瑞拉

$80,022 交易量

9%

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突尼斯

$0 交易量

11%

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科威特

$0 交易量

10%

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卡達

$0 交易量

8%

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印尼

$0 交易量

7%

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馬來西亞

$435 交易量

5%

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孟加拉國

$560 交易量

10%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's March 27 appeal to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to normalize diplomatic relations with Israel amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran has fueled speculation on expanded Abraham Accords, positioning Saudi Arabia as the pivotal holdout among major Arab states. However, Oman's Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi reiterated on March 13 that normalization remains off the table without a Palestinian state, reflecting broader regional resistance tied to Gaza tensions and Palestinian demands. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus likely discounting swift shifts before June 30 given entrenched geopolitical barriers, including Iran hostilities and domestic politics in Muslim-majority non-recognizers like Indonesia, Malaysia, and Pakistan. Upcoming diplomatic summits or ceasefire progress could alter trajectories.

President Trump's March 27 appeal to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to normalize diplomatic relations with Israel amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran has fueled speculation on expanded Abraham Accords, positioning Saudi Arabia as the pivotal holdout among major Arab states. However, Oman's Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi reiterated on March 13 that normalization remains off the table without a Palestinian state, reflecting broader regional resistance tied to Gaza tensions and Palestinian demands. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus likely discounting swift shifts before June 30 given entrenched geopolitical barriers, including Iran hostilities and domestic politics in Muslim-majority non-recognizers like Indonesia, Malaysia, and Pakistan. Upcoming diplomatic summits or ceasefire progress could alter trajectories.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's March 27 appeal to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to normalize diplomatic relations with Israel amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran has fueled speculation on expanded Abraham Accords, positioning Saudi Arabia as the pivotal holdout among major Arab states. However, Oman's Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi reiterated on March 13 that normalization remains off the table without a Palestinian state, reflecting broader regional resistance tied to Gaza tensions and Palestinian demands. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus likely discounting swift shifts before June 30 given entrenched geopolitical barriers, including Iran hostilities and domestic politics in Muslim-majority non-recognizers like Indonesia, Malaysia, and Pakistan. Upcoming diplomatic summits or ceasefire progress could alter trajectories.

President Trump's March 27 appeal to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to normalize diplomatic relations with Israel amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran has fueled speculation on expanded Abraham Accords, positioning Saudi Arabia as the pivotal holdout among major Arab states. However, Oman's Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi reiterated on March 13 that normalization remains off the table without a Palestinian state, reflecting broader regional resistance tied to Gaza tensions and Palestinian demands. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus likely discounting swift shifts before June 30 given entrenched geopolitical barriers, including Iran hostilities and domestic politics in Muslim-majority non-recognizers like Indonesia, Malaysia, and Pakistan. Upcoming diplomatic summits or ceasefire progress could alter trajectories.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "突尼斯" at 11%, followed by "科威特" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" has generated $88.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" is "突尼斯" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "科威特" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.