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哪些國家將在3月31日前加入和平委員會?

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哪些國家將在3月31日前加入和平委員會?

$3,313,171 交易量

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$3,313,171 交易量

Polymarket

巴西

$29,242 交易量

4%

印度

$46,296 交易量

3%

英國

$125,961 交易量

1%

義大利

$194,712 交易量

1%

西班牙

$100,138 交易量

1%

比利時

$37,589 交易量

1%

瑞典

$225,360 交易量

1%

芬蘭

$577,867 交易量

1%

法國

$62,725 交易量

1%

德國

$108,123 交易量

1%

俄羅斯

$274,198 交易量

1%

瑞士

$50,066 交易量

1%

丹麥

$343,307 交易量

1%

荷蘭

$280,491 交易量

<1%

挪威

$511,179 交易量

<1%

巴勒斯坦

$43,679 交易量

<1%

中國

$119,351 交易量

<1%

烏克蘭

$80,102 交易量

<1%

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's Board of Peace, ratified in January 2026 via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction post-ceasefire, counts about 25 founding members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, Argentina, Hungary, and Indonesia after its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington. Major holdouts like the UK, France, Germany, and EU nations have declined invitations, citing concerns over UN bypass, while BRICS states such as Brazil and India remain uncommitted. With no new official memberships announced in the past 30 days and diplomatic negotiations stalled, trader consensus reflects slim odds for last-minute joiners ahead of the March 31 deadline, emphasizing entrenched geopolitical rifts and limited momentum despite White House outreach.

President Trump's Board of Peace, ratified in January 2026 via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction post-ceasefire, counts about 25 founding members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, Argentina, Hungary, and Indonesia after its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington. Major holdouts like the UK, France, Germany, and EU nations have declined invitations, citing concerns over UN bypass, while BRICS states such as Brazil and India remain uncommitted. With no new official memberships announced in the past 30 days and diplomatic negotiations stalled, trader consensus reflects slim odds for last-minute joiners ahead of the March 31 deadline, emphasizing entrenched geopolitical rifts and limited momentum despite White House outreach.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's Board of Peace, ratified in January 2026 via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction post-ceasefire, counts about 25 founding members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, Argentina, Hungary, and Indonesia after its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington. Major holdouts like the UK, France, Germany, and EU nations have declined invitations, citing concerns over UN bypass, while BRICS states such as Brazil and India remain uncommitted. With no new official memberships announced in the past 30 days and diplomatic negotiations stalled, trader consensus reflects slim odds for last-minute joiners ahead of the March 31 deadline, emphasizing entrenched geopolitical rifts and limited momentum despite White House outreach.

President Trump's Board of Peace, ratified in January 2026 via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction post-ceasefire, counts about 25 founding members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, Argentina, Hungary, and Indonesia after its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington. Major holdouts like the UK, France, Germany, and EU nations have declined invitations, citing concerns over UN bypass, while BRICS states such as Brazil and India remain uncommitted. With no new official memberships announced in the past 30 days and diplomatic negotiations stalled, trader consensus reflects slim odds for last-minute joiners ahead of the March 31 deadline, emphasizing entrenched geopolitical rifts and limited momentum despite White House outreach.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家將在3月31日前加入和平委員會?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "以色列" at 100%, followed by "土耳其" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家將在3月31日前加入和平委員會?" has generated $3.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家將在3月31日前加入和平委員會?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家將在3月31日前加入和平委員會?" is "以色列" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "土耳其" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家將在3月31日前加入和平委員會?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.