President Trump's Board of Peace, ratified in January 2026 via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction post-ceasefire, counts about 25 founding members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, Argentina, Hungary, and Indonesia after its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington. Major holdouts like the UK, France, Germany, and EU nations have declined invitations, citing concerns over UN bypass, while BRICS states such as Brazil and India remain uncommitted. With no new official memberships announced in the past 30 days and diplomatic negotiations stalled, trader consensus reflects slim odds for last-minute joiners ahead of the March 31 deadline, emphasizing entrenched geopolitical rifts and limited momentum despite White House outreach.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,313,171 交易量
巴西
4%
印度
3%
英國
1%
義大利
1%
西班牙
1%
比利時
1%
瑞典
1%
芬蘭
1%
法國
1%
德國
1%
俄羅斯
1%
瑞士
1%
丹麥
1%
荷蘭
<1%
挪威
<1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
中國
<1%
烏克蘭
<1%
$3,313,171 交易量
巴西
4%
印度
3%
英國
1%
義大利
1%
西班牙
1%
比利時
1%
瑞典
1%
芬蘭
1%
法國
1%
德國
1%
俄羅斯
1%
瑞士
1%
丹麥
1%
荷蘭
<1%
挪威
<1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
中國
<1%
烏克蘭
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's Board of Peace, ratified in January 2026 via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction post-ceasefire, counts about 25 founding members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, Argentina, Hungary, and Indonesia after its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington. Major holdouts like the UK, France, Germany, and EU nations have declined invitations, citing concerns over UN bypass, while BRICS states such as Brazil and India remain uncommitted. With no new official memberships announced in the past 30 days and diplomatic negotiations stalled, trader consensus reflects slim odds for last-minute joiners ahead of the March 31 deadline, emphasizing entrenched geopolitical rifts and limited momentum despite White House outreach.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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