The Board of Peace, a US-led international coalition established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and peacekeeping, counts 28 founding members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Egypt, Indonesia, and others from the Middle East, Asia, and select partners since its January charter in Davos and February inaugural summit. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid escalating Middle East tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, domestic opposition in members like Indonesia, and disputed funding commitments, leading traders to price low implied probabilities across outcomes. Major powers such as China, Russia, France, Germany, UK, and most EU states have declined invitations due to geopolitical reservations. With the March 31 deadline imminent, official government announcements remain the sole resolution trigger for any late diplomatic shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,224,315 交易量
巴西
4%
印度
3%
英國
1%
義大利
1%
比利時
1%
西班牙
1%
法國
1%
芬蘭
1%
瑞典
1%
德國
1%
俄羅斯
1%
挪威
1%
瑞士
1%
丹麥
1%
荷蘭
1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
中國
<1%
烏克蘭
<1%
$3,224,315 交易量
巴西
4%
印度
3%
英國
1%
義大利
1%
比利時
1%
西班牙
1%
法國
1%
芬蘭
1%
瑞典
1%
德國
1%
俄羅斯
1%
挪威
1%
瑞士
1%
丹麥
1%
荷蘭
1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
中國
<1%
烏克蘭
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
The Board of Peace, a US-led international coalition established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and peacekeeping, counts 28 founding members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Egypt, Indonesia, and others from the Middle East, Asia, and select partners since its January charter in Davos and February inaugural summit. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid escalating Middle East tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, domestic opposition in members like Indonesia, and disputed funding commitments, leading traders to price low implied probabilities across outcomes. Major powers such as China, Russia, France, Germany, UK, and most EU states have declined invitations due to geopolitical reservations. With the March 31 deadline imminent, official government announcements remain the sole resolution trigger for any late diplomatic shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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