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經濟艙·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

4月1日華盛頓都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？

Market icon
經濟艙·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

4月1日華盛頓都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？

548 - 554千 100.0%

低於518k <1%

518 - 524千 <1%

524 - 530千 <1%

Polymarket

$16,029 交易量

548 - 554千 100.0%

低於518k <1%

518 - 524千 <1%

524 - 530千 <1%

Polymarket

$16,029 交易量

低於518k

$546 交易量

<1%

518 - 524千

$557 交易量

<1%

524 - 530千

$336 交易量

<1%

530 - 536千

$1,140 交易量

<1%

536 - 542千

$1,295 交易量

<1%

54.2萬 - 54.8萬

$8,406 交易量

<1%

548 - 554千

$3,092 交易量

100%

>554,000

$656 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers a commanding 99% implied probability to the 548-554k outcome for DC Metro median home value as of April 1, 2026, anchored by Parcl Labs' real-time sales price index registering the figure firmly in this bin following March's subdued transaction data. Elevated mortgage rates hovering above 6.5%, inventory buildup with active listings up 18% year-over-year to over 7,000, and buyer caution amid federal workforce uncertainty have sustained downward pressure on valuations, extending February's Zillow ZHVI stability around $572k into a slight pullback. Realistic challenges include an imminent Fed rate cut boosting affordability or stronger-than-expected spring demand from seasonal factors, potentially lifting the index above 554k.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
交易量
$16,029
結束日期
2026-04-01
市場開放時間
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)

已提議結果: 否

爭議期

最終

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers a commanding 99% implied probability to the 548-554k outcome for DC Metro median home value as of April 1, 2026, anchored by Parcl Labs' real-time sales price index registering the figure firmly in this bin following March's subdued transaction data. Elevated mortgage rates hovering above 6.5%, inventory buildup with active listings up 18% year-over-year to over 7,000, and buyer caution amid federal workforce uncertainty have sustained downward pressure on valuations, extending February's Zillow ZHVI stability around $572k into a slight pullback. Realistic challenges include an imminent Fed rate cut boosting affordability or stronger-than-expected spring demand from seasonal factors, potentially lifting the index above 554k.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
交易量
$16,029
結束日期
2026-04-01
市場開放時間
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)

已提議結果: 否

爭議期

最終

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月1日華盛頓都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "548 - 554千" at 100%, followed by "低於518k" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "4月1日華盛頓都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" has generated $16K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "4月1日華盛頓都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月1日華盛頓都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is "548 - 554千" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "低於518k" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月1日華盛頓都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.