Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+29 Cook Partisan Voter Index centered on Memphis, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner. Long-serving incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen faces a competitive August 6 Democratic primary from challengers including state Rep. Justin J. Pearson and activist DeVante Hill, following candidate filing deadlines in March, but the district's overwhelming Democratic lean—evidenced by Cohen's consistent landslide victories—renders the general election safe regardless of primary outcome. Weak Republican primary field, including Charlotte Bergmann and Wendell Blankenship, reinforces this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from a national GOP midterm wave, post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee health issues, or legal developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,939 交易量
$10,939 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
93%
共和黨
8%
$10,939 交易量
$10,939 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$4,515 交易量
93%
共和黨
$6,424 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+29 Cook Partisan Voter Index centered on Memphis, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner. Long-serving incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen faces a competitive August 6 Democratic primary from challengers including state Rep. Justin J. Pearson and activist DeVante Hill, following candidate filing deadlines in March, but the district's overwhelming Democratic lean—evidenced by Cohen's consistent landslide victories—renders the general election safe regardless of primary outcome. Weak Republican primary field, including Charlotte Bergmann and Wendell Blankenship, reinforces this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from a national GOP midterm wave, post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee health issues, or legal developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$10,939結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+29 Cook Partisan Voter Index centered on Memphis, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner. Long-serving incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen faces a competitive August 6 Democratic primary from challengers including state Rep. Justin J. Pearson and activist DeVante Hill, following candidate filing deadlines in March, but the district's overwhelming Democratic lean—evidenced by Cohen's consistent landslide victories—renders the general election safe regardless of primary outcome. Weak Republican primary field, including Charlotte Bergmann and Wendell Blankenship, reinforces this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from a national GOP midterm wave, post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee health issues, or legal developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,939結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+29 Cook Partisan Voter Index centered on Memphis, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner. Long-serving incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen faces a competitive August 6 Democratic primary from challengers including state Rep. Justin J. Pearson and activist DeVante Hill, following candidate filing deadlines in March, but the district's overwhelming Democratic lean—evidenced by Cohen's consistent landslide victories—renders the general election safe regardless of primary outcome. Weak Republican primary field, including Charlotte Bergmann and Wendell Blankenship, reinforces this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from a national GOP midterm wave, post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee health issues, or legal developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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