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政治·美國大選

德州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·美國大選

德州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

5月 26

5月 26

肯·帕克斯頓 64%

約翰·科寧 35%

道恩·白金漢 <1%

貝絲·范·杜因 <1%

Polymarket

$15,121,698 交易量

肯·帕克斯頓 64%

約翰·科寧 35%

道恩·白金漢 <1%

貝絲·范·杜因 <1%

Polymarket

$15,121,698 交易量

Market icon

肯·帕克斯頓

$4,121,410 交易量

64%

Market icon

約翰·科寧

$3,042,583 交易量

35%

Market icon

道恩·白金漢

$906,200 交易量

<1%

Market icon

貝絲·范·杜因

$5,303,445 交易量

<1%

Market icon

韋斯利·亨特

$1,748,193 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton leads trader consensus at 63.5% to win the Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent U.S. Senator John Cornyn on May 26, following Paxton's first-place finish with 42% in the March 3 primary despite being outspent 33-to-1. Recent polls, including a March Impact Research survey showing Paxton ahead 53-37 among likely GOP runoff voters, underscore his strong appeal to the conservative base in this low-turnout contest, while Cornyn garners establishment endorsements and fundraising advantages amid intraparty divisions over his Senate record on issues like foreign aid. A potential endorsement from former President Trump remains a key uncertainty that could sway the race. Minor candidates like Dawn Buckingham, Beth Van Duyne, and Wesley Hunt trail at 0.1% after failing to advance.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$15,121,698
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton leads trader consensus at 63.5% to win the Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent U.S. Senator John Cornyn on May 26, following Paxton's first-place finish with 42% in the March 3 primary despite being outspent 33-to-1. Recent polls, including a March Impact Research survey showing Paxton ahead 53-37 among likely GOP runoff voters, underscore his strong appeal to the conservative base in this low-turnout contest, while Cornyn garners establishment endorsements and fundraising advantages amid intraparty divisions over his Senate record on issues like foreign aid. A potential endorsement from former President Trump remains a key uncertainty that could sway the race. Minor candidates like Dawn Buckingham, Beth Van Duyne, and Wesley Hunt trail at 0.1% after failing to advance.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$15,121,698
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"德州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "肯·帕克斯頓" at 64%, followed by "約翰·科寧" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "德州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $15.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "德州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "德州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "肯·帕克斯頓" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約翰·科寧" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "德州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.