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選舉·中期

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

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選舉·中期

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
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Republican

$4,163 交易量

95%

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Democrat

$2,479 交易量

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Dakota's deep Republican entrenchment, with no Democratic governor since 1974 and consistent large-margin GOP victories, underpins trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 gubernatorial race. Incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden, who ascended after Kristi Noem's January 2025 resignation to join the federal administration, trails U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson—who leads mid-March Emerson College polls—in the competitive June 2 GOP primary also featuring Toby Doeden and Jon Hansen. Democrats nominate former party executive director Dan Ahlers, facing a thin field and no recent general election polling. While odds reflect skin-in-the-game certainty, a post-primary GOP scandal, nominee health crisis, or national blue wave could shift dynamics before inauguration.

South Dakota's deep Republican entrenchment, with no Democratic governor since 1974 and consistent large-margin GOP victories, underpins trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 gubernatorial race. Incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden, who ascended after Kristi Noem's January 2025 resignation to join the federal administration, trails U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson—who leads mid-March Emerson College polls—in the competitive June 2 GOP primary also featuring Toby Doeden and Jon Hansen. Democrats nominate former party executive director Dan Ahlers, facing a thin field and no recent general election polling. While odds reflect skin-in-the-game certainty, a post-primary GOP scandal, nominee health crisis, or national blue wave could shift dynamics before inauguration.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Dakota's deep Republican entrenchment, with no Democratic governor since 1974 and consistent large-margin GOP victories, underpins trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 gubernatorial race. Incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden, who ascended after Kristi Noem's January 2025 resignation to join the federal administration, trails U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson—who leads mid-March Emerson College polls—in the competitive June 2 GOP primary also featuring Toby Doeden and Jon Hansen. Democrats nominate former party executive director Dan Ahlers, facing a thin field and no recent general election polling. While odds reflect skin-in-the-game certainty, a post-primary GOP scandal, nominee health crisis, or national blue wave could shift dynamics before inauguration.

South Dakota's deep Republican entrenchment, with no Democratic governor since 1974 and consistent large-margin GOP victories, underpins trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 gubernatorial race. Incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden, who ascended after Kristi Noem's January 2025 resignation to join the federal administration, trails U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson—who leads mid-March Emerson College polls—in the competitive June 2 GOP primary also featuring Toby Doeden and Jon Hansen. Democrats nominate former party executive director Dan Ahlers, facing a thin field and no recent general election polling. While odds reflect skin-in-the-game certainty, a post-primary GOP scandal, nominee health crisis, or national blue wave could shift dynamics before inauguration.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"South Dakota Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Republican" at 95%, followed by "Democrat" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"South Dakota Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Oct 13, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "South Dakota Governor Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "South Dakota Governor Election Winner" is "Republican" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Democrat" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "South Dakota Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.