2026年12月31日最富有的人？

Name: 2026年12月31日最富有的人？
Start: 2025-11-12T22:45:20.996Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

2026年12月31日最富有的人？

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

埃隆·馬斯克 90%

黃仁勳 2.3%

拉里·佩奇 1.4%

沃倫·巴菲特 1.4%

$1,084,933 交易量

Dec 31, 2026

埃隆·馬斯克

$102,640 交易量

90%

黃仁勳

$41,183 交易量

拉里·佩奇

$96,138 交易量

沃倫·巴菲特

$19,575 交易量

拉里·埃里森

$33,404 交易量

史蒂夫·鮑爾默

$218,110 交易量

傑夫·貝佐斯

$258,074 交易量

貝爾納·阿爾諾

$215,367 交易量

馬克·祖克柏

$100,443 交易量

謝爾蓋·布林

$0 交易量

<1%

埃隆·馬斯克 90%

黃仁勳 2.3%

拉里·佩奇 1.4%

沃倫·巴菲特 1.4%

$1,084,933 交易量

Dec 31, 2026

埃隆·馬斯克

$102,640 交易量

90%

黃仁勳

$41,183 交易量

拉里·佩奇

$96,138 交易量

沃倫·巴菲特

$19,575 交易量

拉里·埃里森

$33,404 交易量

史蒂夫·鮑爾默

$218,110 交易量

傑夫·貝佐斯

$258,074 交易量

貝爾納·阿爾諾

$215,367 交易量

馬克·祖克柏

$100,443 交易量

謝爾蓋·布林

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Traders heavily favor Elon Musk at 89.5% implied probability to remain the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, propelled by his current $260 billion-plus net worth lead, fueled by Tesla's recent stock surge past $260/share amid record Q3 deliveries and Cybertruck ramp-up, plus SpaceX's Starship milestones and xAI's $6 billion funding round. Jensen Huang's 2.3% odds reflect NVIDIA's AI chip dominance, with his fortune ballooning over $100 billion on Blackwell GPU hype and data center boom. Legacy titans like Warren Buffett (1.4%) and tech holdouts Jeff Bezos (0.9%) trail due to slower growth trajectories, though market volatility—tied to Fed rates and AI hype cycles—keeps challengers viable amid unpredictable billionaire wealth swings.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 25, 2026, 12:22 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年12月31日最富有的人？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "埃隆·馬斯克" at 90%, followed by "黃仁勳" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年12月31日最富有的人？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" is "埃隆·馬斯克" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "黃仁勳" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2026年12月31日最富有的人？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.1 million traded on “2026年12月31日最富有的人？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2026年12月31日最富有的人？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 90¢ for "埃隆·馬斯克" in the "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 90% chance that "埃隆·馬斯克" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 90¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 10¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" market has an active community of 24 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2026年12月31日最富有的人？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2026年12月31日最富有的人？

2026年12月31日最富有的人？

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (24)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "2026年12月31日最富有的人？"?

What are the current odds for "2026年12月31日最富有的人？"?

How will "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" be resolved?

Can I follow "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "2026年12月31日最富有的人？"?

What does a price of 90¢ for "埃隆·馬斯克" mean?

When does the "2026年12月31日最富有的人？" market close?

What are traders saying about "2026年12月31日最富有的人？"?

What is Polymarket?