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政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

Market icon
政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

J.D. Vance 36.6%

馬可·魯比奧 20.8%

塔克·卡爾森 5.4%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.9%

Polymarket

$487,272,361 交易量

J.D. Vance 36.6%

馬可·魯比奧 20.8%

塔克·卡爾森 5.4%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.9%

Polymarket

$487,272,361 交易量

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J.D. Vance

$6,794,370 交易量

37%

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馬可·魯比奧

$6,569,859 交易量

21%

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塔克·卡爾森

$7,205,390 交易量

5%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$7,894,601 交易量

3%

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唐納德·川普

$6,239,489 交易量

2%

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格倫·楊金

$5,572,030 交易量

2%

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托馬斯·馬西

$2,667,490 交易量

2%

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唐納·川普二世

$5,825,878 交易量

2%

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蘭德·保羅

$15,932,033 交易量

1%

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維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$12,297,546 交易量

1%

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伊萬卡·特朗普

$5,233,612 交易量

1%

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泰德·克魯茲

$13,962,080 交易量

1%

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伊隆·馬斯克

$21,650,311 交易量

1%

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瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$3,890,780 交易量

1%

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妮基·黑利

$7,099,845 交易量

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,150,319 交易量

1%

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圖爾西·加巴德

$9,063,967 交易量

1%

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羅伯特·F·甘迺迪二世

$10,888,433 交易量

1%

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布萊恩·坎普

$12,849,277 交易量

1%

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馬特·蓋茨

$15,125,515 交易量

1%

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Eric Trump

$4,046,465 交易量

1%

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莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$27,912,596 交易量

1%

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凱蒂·布瑞特

$24,238,029 交易量

1%

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克里斯蒂·諾姆

$27,795,143 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$22,971,251 交易量

1%

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皮特·赫格塞思

$1,372,202 交易量

1%

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伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克

$21,203,957 交易量

1%

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喬什·霍利

$15,539,206 交易量

1%

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約翰·圖恩

$28,677,364 交易量

1%

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喬·肯特

$1,691,224 交易量

1%

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湯姆·布雷迪

$27,674,149 交易量

1%

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史蒂夫·班農

$14,570,544 交易量

1%

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拜倫·唐納茲

$32,936,582 交易量

1%

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Erika Kirk

$10,531,043 交易量

1%

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邁克·彭斯

$32,201,872 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee, propelled by his prominent role as Health and Human Services Secretary in the Trump administration, where his Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives have gained traction among GOP base voters focused on health policy reform. Vice President J.D. Vance holds second at 36.6%, buoyed by his position as the natural successor but facing downward pressure from recent reports of President Trump privately polling major donors, who reportedly favor Secretary of State Marco Rubio—now third at 20.8%—amid scrutiny of Vance's early-term performance. March 2026 speculation intensified with media analyses highlighting cabinet heavyweights like Rubio and RFK Jr. as viable challengers in a post-Trump primary, with 2026 midterms looming as a key proving ground for turnout and endorsements.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee, propelled by his prominent role as Health and Human Services Secretary in the Trump administration, where his Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives have gained traction among GOP base voters focused on health policy reform. Vice President J.D. Vance holds second at 36.6%, buoyed by his position as the natural successor but facing downward pressure from recent reports of President Trump privately polling major donors, who reportedly favor Secretary of State Marco Rubio—now third at 20.8%—amid scrutiny of Vance's early-term performance. March 2026 speculation intensified with media analyses highlighting cabinet heavyweights like Rubio and RFK Jr. as viable challengers in a post-Trump primary, with 2026 midterms looming as a key proving ground for turnout and endorsements.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee, propelled by his prominent role as Health and Human Services Secretary in the Trump administration, where his Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives have gained traction among GOP base voters focused on health policy reform. Vice President J.D. Vance holds second at 36.6%, buoyed by his position as the natural successor but facing downward pressure from recent reports of President Trump privately polling major donors, who reportedly favor Secretary of State Marco Rubio—now third at 20.8%—amid scrutiny of Vance's early-term performance. March 2026 speculation intensified with media analyses highlighting cabinet heavyweights like Rubio and RFK Jr. as viable challengers in a post-Trump primary, with 2026 midterms looming as a key proving ground for turnout and endorsements.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee, propelled by his prominent role as Health and Human Services Secretary in the Trump administration, where his Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives have gained traction among GOP base voters focused on health policy reform. Vice President J.D. Vance holds second at 36.6%, buoyed by his position as the natural successor but facing downward pressure from recent reports of President Trump privately polling major donors, who reportedly favor Secretary of State Marco Rubio—now third at 20.8%—amid scrutiny of Vance's early-term performance. March 2026 speculation intensified with media analyses highlighting cabinet heavyweights like Rubio and RFK Jr. as viable challengers in a post-Trump primary, with 2026 midterms looming as a key proving ground for turnout and endorsements.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年共和黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "馬可·魯比奧" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年共和黨總統提名人" has generated $487.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年共和黨總統提名人," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬可·魯比奧" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.