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政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

Market icon
政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

J.D. Vance 36.8%

馬可·魯比奧 21.1%

塔克·卡爾森 4.9%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.8%

Polymarket

$480,980,988 交易量

J.D. Vance 36.8%

馬可·魯比奧 21.1%

塔克·卡爾森 4.9%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.8%

Polymarket

$480,980,988 交易量

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J.D. Vance

$6,679,756 交易量

37%

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馬可·魯比奧

$6,521,717 交易量

21%

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塔克·卡爾森

$7,061,295 交易量

5%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$7,758,122 交易量

3%

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唐納德·川普

$6,169,057 交易量

2%

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托馬斯·馬西

$2,632,291 交易量

2%

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格倫·楊金

$5,484,347 交易量

1%

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唐納·川普二世

$5,763,061 交易量

1%

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蘭德·保羅

$15,891,317 交易量

1%

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維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$12,207,610 交易量

1%

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伊萬卡·特朗普

$4,828,302 交易量

1%

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泰德·克魯茲

$13,782,235 交易量

1%

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伊隆·馬斯克

$21,538,839 交易量

1%

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瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$3,814,711 交易量

1%

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妮基·黑利

$7,025,970 交易量

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,084,298 交易量

1%

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圖爾西·加巴德

$8,853,678 交易量

1%

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馬特·蓋茨

$15,053,076 交易量

1%

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羅伯特·F·甘迺迪二世

$10,795,641 交易量

1%

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布萊恩·坎普

$12,725,466 交易量

1%

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Eric Trump

$3,759,224 交易量

1%

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莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$27,853,893 交易量

1%

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喬什·霍利

$15,365,961 交易量

1%

Market icon

凱蒂·布瑞特

$24,146,245 交易量

1%

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克里斯蒂·諾姆

$27,658,680 交易量

1%

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皮特·赫格塞思

$1,232,270 交易量

1%

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拜倫·唐納茲

$32,515,792 交易量

1%

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伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克

$21,048,349 交易量

1%

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約翰·圖恩

$28,486,462 交易量

1%

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喬·肯特

$1,637,862 交易量

1%

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湯姆·布雷迪

$27,440,228 交易量

1%

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史蒂夫·班農

$14,337,741 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$22,482,952 交易量

1%

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Erika Kirk

$9,639,309 交易量

1%

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邁克·彭斯

$31,710,142 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With Donald Trump's second term barred by constitutional term limits, the 2028 Republican presidential nomination represents an open primary field where traders favor Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability, boosted by his November 14 nomination as HHS Secretary, elevating his national profile and Trump-aligned appeal amid health policy debates. J.D. Vance holds strong at 36.8% as vice president-elect, benefiting from incumbency advantages and historical precedents favoring VPs in open races. Marco Rubio's 21.1% reflects his recent Secretary of State nomination, enhancing his foreign policy credentials for swing-state electoral math. Recent transition announcements dominate sentiment, with confirmation hearings ahead as key catalysts before distant primaries.

With Donald Trump's second term barred by constitutional term limits, the 2028 Republican presidential nomination represents an open primary field where traders favor Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability, boosted by his November 14 nomination as HHS Secretary, elevating his national profile and Trump-aligned appeal amid health policy debates. J.D. Vance holds strong at 36.8% as vice president-elect, benefiting from incumbency advantages and historical precedents favoring VPs in open races. Marco Rubio's 21.1% reflects his recent Secretary of State nomination, enhancing his foreign policy credentials for swing-state electoral math. Recent transition announcements dominate sentiment, with confirmation hearings ahead as key catalysts before distant primaries.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With Donald Trump's second term barred by constitutional term limits, the 2028 Republican presidential nomination represents an open primary field where traders favor Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability, boosted by his November 14 nomination as HHS Secretary, elevating his national profile and Trump-aligned appeal amid health policy debates. J.D. Vance holds strong at 36.8% as vice president-elect, benefiting from incumbency advantages and historical precedents favoring VPs in open races. Marco Rubio's 21.1% reflects his recent Secretary of State nomination, enhancing his foreign policy credentials for swing-state electoral math. Recent transition announcements dominate sentiment, with confirmation hearings ahead as key catalysts before distant primaries.

With Donald Trump's second term barred by constitutional term limits, the 2028 Republican presidential nomination represents an open primary field where traders favor Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability, boosted by his November 14 nomination as HHS Secretary, elevating his national profile and Trump-aligned appeal amid health policy debates. J.D. Vance holds strong at 36.8% as vice president-elect, benefiting from incumbency advantages and historical precedents favoring VPs in open races. Marco Rubio's 21.1% reflects his recent Secretary of State nomination, enhancing his foreign policy credentials for swing-state electoral math. Recent transition announcements dominate sentiment, with confirmation hearings ahead as key catalysts before distant primaries.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年共和黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "馬可·魯比奧" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年共和黨總統提名人" has generated $481 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年共和黨總統提名人," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬可·魯比奧" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.