2028年共和黨總統提名人

Name: 2028年共和黨總統提名人
Start: 2025-07-11T19:42:53.683Z
End: 2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z

2028年共和黨總統提名人 — 討論

masnjr · 2025-07-11T19:42:53.683Z

關於2028年共和黨總統提名人的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

J.D. Vance 36.9%

馬可·魯比奧 21.3%

塔克·卡爾森 5.3%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.9%

$482,781,283 交易量

Nov 7, 2028

賺 4% 收益

J.D. Vance

$6,719,594 交易量

37%

馬可·魯比奧

$6,533,039 交易量

21%

塔克·卡爾森

$7,101,241 交易量

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$7,786,151 交易量

唐納德·川普

$6,209,541 交易量

托馬斯·馬西

$2,640,962 交易量

唐納·川普二世

$5,806,160 交易量

格倫·楊金

$5,511,529 交易量

蘭德·保羅

$15,909,001 交易量

維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$12,265,173 交易量

伊萬卡·特朗普

$4,852,092 交易量

伊隆·馬斯克

$21,602,230 交易量

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$3,852,413 交易量

妮基·黑利

$7,066,045 交易量

Greg Abbott

$17,112,812 交易量

泰德·克魯茲

$13,834,356 交易量

圖爾西·加巴德

$8,874,685 交易量

馬特·蓋茨

$15,084,255 交易量

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪二世

$10,818,705 交易量

布萊恩·坎普

$12,759,510 交易量

Eric Trump

$3,779,579 交易量

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$27,868,889 交易量

喬什·霍利

$15,429,563 交易量

凱蒂·布瑞特

$24,177,817 交易量

克里斯蒂·諾姆

$27,725,735 交易量

皮特·赫格塞思

$1,267,259 交易量

拜倫·唐納茲

$32,760,558 交易量

伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克

$21,120,930 交易量

約翰·圖恩

$28,536,618 交易量

喬·肯特

$1,654,334 交易量

湯姆·布雷迪

$27,466,785 交易量

史蒂夫·班農

$14,433,695 交易量

金·卡戴珊

$22,594,297 交易量

Erika Kirk

$9,735,534 交易量

邁克·彭斯

$31,895,315 交易量

J.D. Vance 36.9%

馬可·魯比奧 21.3%

塔克·卡爾森 5.3%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.9%

$482,781,283 交易量

Nov 7, 2028

賺 4% 收益

J.D. Vance

$6,719,594 交易量

37%

馬可·魯比奧

$6,533,039 交易量

21%

塔克·卡爾森

$7,101,241 交易量

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$7,786,151 交易量

唐納德·川普

$6,209,541 交易量

托馬斯·馬西

$2,640,962 交易量

唐納·川普二世

$5,806,160 交易量

格倫·楊金

$5,511,529 交易量

蘭德·保羅

$15,909,001 交易量

維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$12,265,173 交易量

伊萬卡·特朗普

$4,852,092 交易量

伊隆·馬斯克

$21,602,230 交易量

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$3,852,413 交易量

妮基·黑利

$7,066,045 交易量

Greg Abbott

$17,112,812 交易量

泰德·克魯茲

$13,834,356 交易量

圖爾西·加巴德

$8,874,685 交易量

馬特·蓋茨

$15,084,255 交易量

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪二世

$10,818,705 交易量

布萊恩·坎普

$12,759,510 交易量

Eric Trump

$3,779,579 交易量

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$27,868,889 交易量

喬什·霍利

$15,429,563 交易量

凱蒂·布瑞特

$24,177,817 交易量

克里斯蒂·諾姆

$27,725,735 交易量

皮特·赫格塞思

$1,267,259 交易量

拜倫·唐納茲

$32,760,558 交易量

伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克

$21,120,930 交易量

約翰·圖恩

$28,536,618 交易量

喬·肯特

$1,654,334 交易量

湯姆·布雷迪

$27,466,785 交易量

史蒂夫·班農

$14,433,695 交易量

金·卡戴珊

$22,594,297 交易量

Erika Kirk

$9,735,534 交易量

邁克·彭斯

$31,895,315 交易量

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee, driven by momentum from his Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) agenda as HHS Secretary, crossover appeal from his 2024 independent bid and Trump endorsement, and resonance with GOP base skeptics on health policy amid recent executive actions like the March 14 glyphosate production order sparking intra-party debate. Vice President J.D. Vance holds 37% on incumbency advantages and MAGA loyalty, though odds dipped below 37% last week amid reports of waning Trump favor and nascent rivalry with Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who rose to 21% on foreign policy profile elevated by Iran conflict escalations since early March. Upcoming 2026 midterms loom as a key proving ground for these early frontrunners.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 28, 2026, 3:46 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年共和黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "馬可·魯比奧" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年共和黨總統提名人" has generated $482.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年共和黨總統提名人," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬可·魯比奧" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2028年共和黨總統提名人." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $482.8 million traded on “2028年共和黨總統提名人,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2028年共和黨總統提名人," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 37¢ for "J.D. Vance" in the "2028年共和黨總統提名人" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 37% chance that "J.D. Vance" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 37¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 63¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2028年共和黨總統提名人" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Nov 7, 2028 — that's roughly over 3 years away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

The "2028年共和黨總統提名人" market has an active community of 322 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2028年共和黨總統提名人." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2028年共和黨總統提名人

2028年共和黨總統提名人

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "2028年共和黨總統提名人" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "2028年共和黨總統提名人" generated on Polymarket?

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What are the current odds for "2028年共和黨總統提名人"?

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Can I follow "2028年共和黨總統提名人" without placing a trade?

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How do I start trading on "2028年共和黨總統提名人"?

What does a price of 37¢ for "J.D. Vance" mean?

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