俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Name: 俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者
Start: 2025-12-16T01:37:50.116Z
End: 2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z

政治·主要

俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

喬·芮·帕金斯 59%

大衛·布羅克·史密斯 31.1%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德 6.2%

喬·約翰遜 4.3%

$43,754 交易量

May 19, 2026

喬·芮·帕金斯

$10,254 交易量

59%

大衛·布羅克·史密斯

$1,170 交易量

31%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德

$10,530 交易量

喬·約翰遜

$6,545 交易量

大衛·伯奇

$1,929 交易量

Tim Skelton

$8,026 交易量

道格拉斯·T·馬克二世

$5,300 交易量

<1%

喬·芮·帕金斯 59%

大衛·布羅克·史密斯 31.1%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德 6.2%

喬·約翰遜 4.3%

$43,754 交易量

May 19, 2026

喬·芮·帕金斯

$10,254 交易量

59%

大衛·布羅克·史密斯

$1,170 交易量

31%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德

$10,530 交易量

喬·約翰遜

$6,545 交易量

大衛·伯奇

$1,929 交易量

Tim Skelton

$8,026 交易量

道格拉斯·T·馬克二世

$5,300 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Jo Rae Perkins as the Oregon Republican Senate primary winner, reflecting her commanding lead in recent polls averaging 45-50% support among GOP voters, bolstered by grassroots enthusiasm from Trump-aligned conservatives stemming from her 2020 nomination run. David Brock Smith trails at around 25-30%, buoyed by endorsements from state Republican legislators and stronger fundraising, positioning him as the establishment alternative. Lower-tier candidates like Russell McAlmond and Joe Johnson draw niche support but lack momentum. Recent developments include Perkins' uptick in rural county endorsements and a late April poll surge amid low-turnout primary expectations on May 21, while Smith's campaign ads have narrowed the gap slightly without overtaking her base dominance.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 22, 2026, 6:09 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬·芮·帕金斯" at 59%, followed by "大衛·布羅克·史密斯" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $43.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "喬·芮·帕金斯" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "大衛·布羅克·史密斯" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $43.8K traded on “俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 59¢ for "喬·芮·帕金斯" in the "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 59% chance that "喬·芮·帕金斯" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 59¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 41¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 19, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者"?

What are the current odds for "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者"?

How will "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" be resolved?

Can I follow "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者"?

What does a price of 59¢ for "喬·芮·帕金斯" mean?

When does the "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market close?

What are traders saying about "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者"?

What is Polymarket?