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政治·主要

俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

喬·芮·帕金斯 61%

大衛·布羅克·史密斯 28.9%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德 5.2%

大衛·伯奇 1.6%

Polymarket

$71,440 交易量

喬·芮·帕金斯 61%

大衛·布羅克·史密斯 28.9%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德 5.2%

大衛·伯奇 1.6%

Polymarket

$71,440 交易量

喬·芮·帕金斯

$11,708 交易量

61%

大衛·布羅克·史密斯

$1,815 交易量

29%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德

$11,633 交易量

5%

大衛·伯奇

$22,261 交易量

2%

Tim Skelton

$8,073 交易量

2%

布倫特·巴克

$567 交易量

1%

黛博拉·C·布朗

$567 交易量

1%

喬·約翰遜

$8,916 交易量

1%

道格拉斯·T·馬克二世

$5,901 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Jo Rae Perkins at 61% implied probability to win Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by her name recognition as a two-time prior GOP nominee who captured 39% against incumbent Jeff Merkley in 2020 despite the party's statewide challenges. State Sen. David Brock Smith trails at 29%, buoyed by his March 3 campaign launch emphasizing affordability, public safety, and rural Oregon priorities, plus recent outreach like a Clackamas County GOP event and local media coverage. With no public polls released and the filing deadline passed March 11, markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on Perkins' base strength amid a fragmented field of lower-profile challengers like Russell McAlmond, amid Oregon GOP efforts to consolidate for the general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$71,440
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Jo Rae Perkins at 61% implied probability to win Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by her name recognition as a two-time prior GOP nominee who captured 39% against incumbent Jeff Merkley in 2020 despite the party's statewide challenges. State Sen. David Brock Smith trails at 29%, buoyed by his March 3 campaign launch emphasizing affordability, public safety, and rural Oregon priorities, plus recent outreach like a Clackamas County GOP event and local media coverage. With no public polls released and the filing deadline passed March 11, markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on Perkins' base strength amid a fragmented field of lower-profile challengers like Russell McAlmond, amid Oregon GOP efforts to consolidate for the general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$71,440
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬·芮·帕金斯" at 61%, followed by "大衛·布羅克·史密斯" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $71.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "喬·芮·帕金斯" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "大衛·布羅克·史密斯" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.