Incumbent Republican Senator James Lankford's commanding position in Oklahoma's deep-red U.S. Senate race drives trader consensus at 94.5% for a GOP win, reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance—Trump carried it by 33 points in 2020—and Lankford's easy June primary victory over challenger T.W. Shannon (65% to 26%). Recent polling averages show Lankford leading Democrat Annie Shaw by 25–30 points, with no major shifts in the past 30 days amid routine campaigning. While structural factors like incumbency advantage and limited Democratic turnout in this non-battleground state solidify odds, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave could theoretically challenge the outcome ahead of the November 5 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和黨
95%
民主黨
5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和黨
$6,634 交易量
95%
民主黨
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator James Lankford's commanding position in Oklahoma's deep-red U.S. Senate race drives trader consensus at 94.5% for a GOP win, reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance—Trump carried it by 33 points in 2020—and Lankford's easy June primary victory over challenger T.W. Shannon (65% to 26%). Recent polling averages show Lankford leading Democrat Annie Shaw by 25–30 points, with no major shifts in the past 30 days amid routine campaigning. While structural factors like incumbency advantage and limited Democratic turnout in this non-battleground state solidify odds, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave could theoretically challenge the outcome ahead of the November 5 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$6,634結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator James Lankford's commanding position in Oklahoma's deep-red U.S. Senate race drives trader consensus at 94.5% for a GOP win, reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance—Trump carried it by 33 points in 2020—and Lankford's easy June primary victory over challenger T.W. Shannon (65% to 26%). Recent polling averages show Lankford leading Democrat Annie Shaw by 25–30 points, with no major shifts in the past 30 days amid routine campaigning. While structural factors like incumbency advantage and limited Democratic turnout in this non-battleground state solidify odds, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave could theoretically challenge the outcome ahead of the November 5 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$6,634結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator James Lankford's commanding position in Oklahoma's deep-red U.S. Senate race drives trader consensus at 94.5% for a GOP win, reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance—Trump carried it by 33 points in 2020—and Lankford's easy June primary victory over challenger T.W. Shannon (65% to 26%). Recent polling averages show Lankford leading Democrat Annie Shaw by 25–30 points, with no major shifts in the past 30 days amid routine campaigning. While structural factors like incumbency advantage and limited Democratic turnout in this non-battleground state solidify odds, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave could theoretically challenge the outcome ahead of the November 5 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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