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政治·美國大選

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·美國大選

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Steven Erbeck 33%

Holly Adams 30%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 25%

Eric Conroy 0

Polymarket

$11,874 交易量

Steven Erbeck 33%

Holly Adams 30%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 25%

Eric Conroy 0

Polymarket

$11,874 交易量

Steven Erbeck

$0 交易量

33%

Holly Adams

$0 交易量

30%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry

$0 交易量

25%

Eric Conroy

$11,874 交易量

59%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Eric Conroy at 65.5% implied probability to win the OH-01 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his superior fundraising—over $600,000 raised and $440,000 cash on hand as of late 2025—outpacing rivals, alongside high-profile endorsements from Ohio U.S. Sen. Bernie Moreno in February and Wyoming Sen. Cynthia Lummis on March 19. Conroy's Air Force veteran and former CIA case officer background appeals to voters prioritizing national security and leadership experience in this redrawn toss-up district challenging Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Steven Erbeck trails at 18% despite comparable cash reserves as a dentist and small business owner, while Holly Adams (19.5%) and nonprofit CEO Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (17%) lag without similar momentum; no public polls exist, leaving odds reflective of skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of early voting starting April 7.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$11,874
結束日期
2026-05-05
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Eric Conroy at 65.5% implied probability to win the OH-01 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his superior fundraising—over $600,000 raised and $440,000 cash on hand as of late 2025—outpacing rivals, alongside high-profile endorsements from Ohio U.S. Sen. Bernie Moreno in February and Wyoming Sen. Cynthia Lummis on March 19. Conroy's Air Force veteran and former CIA case officer background appeals to voters prioritizing national security and leadership experience in this redrawn toss-up district challenging Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Steven Erbeck trails at 18% despite comparable cash reserves as a dentist and small business owner, while Holly Adams (19.5%) and nonprofit CEO Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (17%) lag without similar momentum; no public polls exist, leaving odds reflective of skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of early voting starting April 7.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$11,874
結束日期
2026-05-05
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Conroy" at 59%, followed by "Steven Erbeck" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $11.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OH-01 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" is "Eric Conroy" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Steven Erbeck" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.