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選舉·美國大選

NY-08民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·美國大選

NY-08民主黨初選獲勝者

哈基姆·傑佛瑞斯 94%

范斯·博斯蒂克 3.6%

Chi Ossé 2.9%

Polymarket
最新

哈基姆·傑佛瑞斯 94%

范斯·博斯蒂克 3.6%

Chi Ossé 2.9%

Polymarket
最新
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哈基姆·傑佛瑞斯

$3,836 交易量

94%

Market icon

范斯·博斯蒂克

$0 交易量

4%

Market icon

Chi Ossé

$0 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Hakeem Jeffries' 93.5% implied probability as frontrunner in the NY-08 Democratic primary reflects his overwhelming incumbency advantage as House Democratic leader, bolstered by $5.8 million cash on hand as of late 2025 versus challenger Vance Bostic's zero reported fundraising, in this safely Democratic Brooklyn-Queens district.** A private October 2025 poll showed Jeffries leading potential progressive foes by 50 points, and Chi Ossé withdrew in December 2025 after failing to secure Democratic Socialists of America backing. With the April 6 filing deadline looming and Bostic urgently gathering signatures for the June 23 closed primary, trader consensus discounts an upset absent a major scandal, sudden endorsement surge, or polling surprise revealing hidden progressive discontent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$3,836
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Hakeem Jeffries' 93.5% implied probability as frontrunner in the NY-08 Democratic primary reflects his overwhelming incumbency advantage as House Democratic leader, bolstered by $5.8 million cash on hand as of late 2025 versus challenger Vance Bostic's zero reported fundraising, in this safely Democratic Brooklyn-Queens district.** A private October 2025 poll showed Jeffries leading potential progressive foes by 50 points, and Chi Ossé withdrew in December 2025 after failing to secure Democratic Socialists of America backing. With the April 6 filing deadline looming and Bostic urgently gathering signatures for the June 23 closed primary, trader consensus discounts an upset absent a major scandal, sudden endorsement surge, or polling surprise revealing hidden progressive discontent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$3,836
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NY-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "哈基姆·傑佛瑞斯" at 94%, followed by "范斯·博斯蒂克" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NY-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NY-08民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NY-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is "哈基姆·傑佛瑞斯" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "范斯·博斯蒂克" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NY-08民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.