Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul's record-high approval ratings and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to win New York's 2026 gubernatorial race. February Marist and Siena College surveys showed Hochul leading by 17-25 points amid her strongest favorability in over four years, bolstered by a Democratic Party endorsement and effective campaign positioning in the blue state. The GOP field weakened after Rep. Elise Stefanik's December withdrawal, leaving Blakeman trailing even in his March internal poll (52%-43%). With primaries on June 23 and filing deadline April 6, odds could shift via a Hochul scandal, national Republican wave, or surprise primary upset, though historical incumbency advantages in New York favor continuity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$25,507 交易量
$25,507 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
92%
共和黨
8%
$25,507 交易量
$25,507 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$25,507 交易量
92%
共和黨
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul's record-high approval ratings and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to win New York's 2026 gubernatorial race. February Marist and Siena College surveys showed Hochul leading by 17-25 points amid her strongest favorability in over four years, bolstered by a Democratic Party endorsement and effective campaign positioning in the blue state. The GOP field weakened after Rep. Elise Stefanik's December withdrawal, leaving Blakeman trailing even in his March internal poll (52%-43%). With primaries on June 23 and filing deadline April 6, odds could shift via a Hochul scandal, national Republican wave, or surprise primary upset, though historical incumbency advantages in New York favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$25,507結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul's record-high approval ratings and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to win New York's 2026 gubernatorial race. February Marist and Siena College surveys showed Hochul leading by 17-25 points amid her strongest favorability in over four years, bolstered by a Democratic Party endorsement and effective campaign positioning in the blue state. The GOP field weakened after Rep. Elise Stefanik's December withdrawal, leaving Blakeman trailing even in his March internal poll (52%-43%). With primaries on June 23 and filing deadline April 6, odds could shift via a Hochul scandal, national Republican wave, or surprise primary upset, though historical incumbency advantages in New York favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$25,507結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul's record-high approval ratings and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to win New York's 2026 gubernatorial race. February Marist and Siena College surveys showed Hochul leading by 17-25 points amid her strongest favorability in over four years, bolstered by a Democratic Party endorsement and effective campaign positioning in the blue state. The GOP field weakened after Rep. Elise Stefanik's December withdrawal, leaving Blakeman trailing even in his March internal poll (52%-43%). With primaries on June 23 and filing deadline April 6, odds could shift via a Hochul scandal, national Republican wave, or surprise primary upset, though historical incumbency advantages in New York favor continuity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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