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選舉·美國大選

紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·美國大選

紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者

$45,720 交易量

Polymarket

$45,720 交易量

Market icon

凱西·霍楚

$36,654 交易量

94%

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安東尼奧·德爾加多

$9,066 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul commands 94% trader consensus as the Democratic primary winner on June 23, propelled by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February 10 campaign suspension, which followed his trouncing by Hochul at the state Democratic Party convention days earlier and his inability to build momentum from the left. Delgado's exit, alongside running mate India Walton's withdrawal, has cleared the primary field ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, reinforcing Hochul's incumbency edge, party machinery support, and fundraising dominance in a low-turnout contest. While late-entering challengers or scandals could erode her lead, no credible threats have materialized, leaving slim paths for upsets absent major shifts in voter sentiment or endorsements.

Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul commands 94% trader consensus as the Democratic primary winner on June 23, propelled by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February 10 campaign suspension, which followed his trouncing by Hochul at the state Democratic Party convention days earlier and his inability to build momentum from the left. Delgado's exit, alongside running mate India Walton's withdrawal, has cleared the primary field ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, reinforcing Hochul's incumbency edge, party machinery support, and fundraising dominance in a low-turnout contest. While late-entering challengers or scandals could erode her lead, no credible threats have materialized, leaving slim paths for upsets absent major shifts in voter sentiment or endorsements.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul commands 94% trader consensus as the Democratic primary winner on June 23, propelled by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February 10 campaign suspension, which followed his trouncing by Hochul at the state Democratic Party convention days earlier and his inability to build momentum from the left. Delgado's exit, alongside running mate India Walton's withdrawal, has cleared the primary field ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, reinforcing Hochul's incumbency edge, party machinery support, and fundraising dominance in a low-turnout contest. While late-entering challengers or scandals could erode her lead, no credible threats have materialized, leaving slim paths for upsets absent major shifts in voter sentiment or endorsements.

Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul commands 94% trader consensus as the Democratic primary winner on June 23, propelled by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February 10 campaign suspension, which followed his trouncing by Hochul at the state Democratic Party convention days earlier and his inability to build momentum from the left. Delgado's exit, alongside running mate India Walton's withdrawal, has cleared the primary field ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, reinforcing Hochul's incumbency edge, party machinery support, and fundraising dominance in a low-turnout contest. While late-entering challengers or scandals could erode her lead, no credible threats have materialized, leaving slim paths for upsets absent major shifts in voter sentiment or endorsements.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "凱西·霍楚" at 94%, followed by "安東尼奧·德爾加多" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者" has generated $45.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者" is "凱西·霍楚" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "安東尼奧·德爾加多" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.