內塔尼亞胡在… ？

Name: 內塔尼亞胡在… ？
Start: 2025-07-24T23:47:39.166Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

世界·中東

內塔尼亞胡在… ？

Dec 31

$59,229,760 交易量

Dec 31, 2026

3月31日

$55,866,869 交易量

4月30日

$468,313 交易量

6月30日

$2,107,662 交易量

12%

12月31日

$786,916 交易量

48%

$59,229,760 交易量

3月31日

$55,866,869 交易量

4月30日

$468,313 交易量

6月30日

$2,107,662 交易量

12%

12月31日

$786,916 交易量

48%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Netanyahu's coalition stability anchors current trader consensus against a near-term ouster, as the premier narrowly defeated a Knesset dissolution vote in June 2024 over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions, preserving his narrow majority despite Benny Gantz's war cabinet resignation and mounting protests. Polls consistently show opposition leaders like Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett ahead by double digits if snap elections occur, fueled by Gaza war frustrations, hostage release delays, and ICC arrest warrant requests. Upcoming Supreme Court rulings on conscription, the 2025 budget passage by March, and potential ceasefire breakthroughs could trigger volatility, though no election date is set amid ongoing security threats.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 22, 2026, 8:59 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"內塔尼亞胡在… ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 48%, followed by "6月30日" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "內塔尼亞胡在… ？" has generated $59.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "內塔尼亞胡在… ？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "內塔尼亞胡在… ？" is "12月31日" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6月30日" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "內塔尼亞胡在… ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "內塔尼亞胡在… ？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $59.2 million traded on “內塔尼亞胡在… ？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "內塔尼亞胡在… ？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 48¢ for "12月31日" in the "內塔尼亞胡在… ？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 48% chance that "12月31日" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 48¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 52¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "內塔尼亞胡在… ？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "內塔尼亞胡在… ？" market has an active community of 1,785 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "內塔尼亞胡在… ？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

內塔尼亞胡在… ？

內塔尼亞胡在… ？

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (1,785)

頂級持倉者

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動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "內塔尼亞胡在… ？" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "內塔尼亞胡在… ？" generated on Polymarket?

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What does a price of 48¢ for "12月31日" mean?

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