Incumbent Republican Virginia Foxx's decisive 75% win in the March 3, 2026, primary solidified her path to the general election rematch against Democrat Chuck Hubbard, who also advanced after defeating a challenger 57%-43%, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 88.5% for the NC-05 House seat. The district's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Foxx's $3.2 million cash-on-hand advantage over Hubbard's $13,000, and her 60%-41% 2024 victory underscore the safe Republican tilt, reinforced by October 2025 redistricting. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with no public polling post-primaries amid low Democratic turnout historically; national midterm dynamics or scandals could shift odds before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$12,905 交易量
$12,905 交易量
共和黨
89%
民主黨
7%
$12,905 交易量
$12,905 交易量
共和黨
89%
民主黨
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Virginia Foxx's decisive 75% win in the March 3, 2026, primary solidified her path to the general election rematch against Democrat Chuck Hubbard, who also advanced after defeating a challenger 57%-43%, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 88.5% for the NC-05 House seat. The district's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Foxx's $3.2 million cash-on-hand advantage over Hubbard's $13,000, and her 60%-41% 2024 victory underscore the safe Republican tilt, reinforced by October 2025 redistricting. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with no public polling post-primaries amid low Democratic turnout historically; national midterm dynamics or scandals could shift odds before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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