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科技·大型科技公司

NASA阿耳忒彌斯II

Market icon
科技·大型科技公司

NASA阿耳忒彌斯II

$678,655 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$678,655 交易量

Polymarket

3月31日

$185,891 交易量

<1%

4月30日

$114,064 交易量

77%

If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NASA阿耳忒彌斯II" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4月30日" at 77%, followed by "3月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NASA阿耳忒彌斯II" has generated $678.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NASA阿耳忒彌斯II," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NASA阿耳忒彌斯II" is "4月30日" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3月31日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NASA阿耳忒彌斯II" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.