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選舉·中期

明尼蘇達州參議院選舉贏家

Market icon
選舉·中期

明尼蘇達州參議院選舉贏家

$15,255 交易量

Polymarket

$15,255 交易量

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民主黨

$11,272 交易量

89%

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共和黨

$3,983 交易量

12%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a strong Democratic hold at 88.5% for the open Minnesota Senate seat following Sen. Tina Smith's retirement announcement over a year ago, driven by early general election polls showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Republican Michele Tafoya 47%-41% and Rep. Angie Craig ahead 47%-40% or 47%-43% in Emerson and PPP surveys from mid-February. These margins reflect Minnesota's left-leaning electorate, where no Republican has won a Senate race since the 2002 midterms and Donald Trump lost by four points in 2024. Flanagan has consolidated the Democratic primary with Smith's endorsement and leads Angie Craig by up to 30 points in recent polls amid strong fundraising. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, with August primaries looming as the next catalyst.

Trader consensus prices a strong Democratic hold at 88.5% for the open Minnesota Senate seat following Sen. Tina Smith's retirement announcement over a year ago, driven by early general election polls showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Republican Michele Tafoya 47%-41% and Rep. Angie Craig ahead 47%-40% or 47%-43% in Emerson and PPP surveys from mid-February. These margins reflect Minnesota's left-leaning electorate, where no Republican has won a Senate race since the 2002 midterms and Donald Trump lost by four points in 2024. Flanagan has consolidated the Democratic primary with Smith's endorsement and leads Angie Craig by up to 30 points in recent polls amid strong fundraising. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, with August primaries looming as the next catalyst.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a strong Democratic hold at 88.5% for the open Minnesota Senate seat following Sen. Tina Smith's retirement announcement over a year ago, driven by early general election polls showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Republican Michele Tafoya 47%-41% and Rep. Angie Craig ahead 47%-40% or 47%-43% in Emerson and PPP surveys from mid-February. These margins reflect Minnesota's left-leaning electorate, where no Republican has won a Senate race since the 2002 midterms and Donald Trump lost by four points in 2024. Flanagan has consolidated the Democratic primary with Smith's endorsement and leads Angie Craig by up to 30 points in recent polls amid strong fundraising. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, with August primaries looming as the next catalyst.

Trader consensus prices a strong Democratic hold at 88.5% for the open Minnesota Senate seat following Sen. Tina Smith's retirement announcement over a year ago, driven by early general election polls showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Republican Michele Tafoya 47%-41% and Rep. Angie Craig ahead 47%-40% or 47%-43% in Emerson and PPP surveys from mid-February. These margins reflect Minnesota's left-leaning electorate, where no Republican has won a Senate race since the 2002 midterms and Donald Trump lost by four points in 2024. Flanagan has consolidated the Democratic primary with Smith's endorsement and leads Angie Craig by up to 30 points in recent polls amid strong fundraising. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, with August primaries looming as the next catalyst.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"明尼蘇達州參議院選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "民主黨" at 89%, followed by "共和黨" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "明尼蘇達州參議院選舉贏家" has generated $15.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "明尼蘇達州參議院選舉贏家," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "明尼蘇達州參議院選舉贏家" is "民主黨" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "共和黨" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "明尼蘇達州參議院選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.