Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Michele Tafoya as the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary winner, with 74.5% implied probability, driven by her recent surge in polls, robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, and high name recognition from her ESPN broadcasting career. A May 2024 internal GOP poll showed her leading at 32% among likely primary voters, well ahead of Royce White (now at 3.5%) whose campaign faltered amid controversies and fundraising shortfalls. Adam Schwarze (11.8%) and Raymond Petersen (6.4%) gain traction from state legislative experience and grassroots support, but trail Tafoya's momentum. Recent Trump orbit endorsements and volunteer enthusiasm have boosted her, ahead of the August 13 primary. Odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments amid fluid field dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於米歇爾·塔福亞 75%
亞當·施瓦茨 11.9%
羅伊斯·懷特 3.5%
吉姆·納許 1.7%
米歇爾·塔福亞
75%
亞當·施瓦茨
12%
羅伊斯·懷特
4%
吉姆·納許
2%
Christopher Brooks
2%
麥克·魯奧霍
2%
艾莉西亞·格倫哈根
1%
大衛·漢恩
1%
Tom Weiler
1%
朱莉婭·科爾曼
1%
雷蒙德·彼得森
6%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
米歇爾·塔福亞 75%
亞當·施瓦茨 11.9%
羅伊斯·懷特 3.5%
吉姆·納許 1.7%
米歇爾·塔福亞
75%
亞當·施瓦茨
12%
羅伊斯·懷特
4%
吉姆·納許
2%
Christopher Brooks
2%
麥克·魯奧霍
2%
艾莉西亞·格倫哈根
1%
大衛·漢恩
1%
Tom Weiler
1%
朱莉婭·科爾曼
1%
雷蒙德·彼得森
6%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Michele Tafoya as the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary winner, with 74.5% implied probability, driven by her recent surge in polls, robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, and high name recognition from her ESPN broadcasting career. A May 2024 internal GOP poll showed her leading at 32% among likely primary voters, well ahead of Royce White (now at 3.5%) whose campaign faltered amid controversies and fundraising shortfalls. Adam Schwarze (11.8%) and Raymond Petersen (6.4%) gain traction from state legislative experience and grassroots support, but trail Tafoya's momentum. Recent Trump orbit endorsements and volunteer enthusiasm have boosted her, ahead of the August 13 primary. Odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments amid fluid field dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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