U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar's strong polling lead over fragmented Republican contenders drives trader consensus implying a 92.5% chance of a Democratic governor win in the November 3, 2026, general election. Following Gov. Tim Walz's January 5 withdrawal amid a state fraud scandal—despite his prior reelection announcement—Klobuchar entered the race on January 29, quickly unifying DFL support with an overwhelming February caucus straw poll victory. Recent KSTP/SurveyUSA polling shows her ahead by 20 points against House Speaker Lisa Demuth and others in a crowded GOP primary set for August 11. While Minnesota leans Democratic, shifts could arise from Republican consolidation behind a viable nominee, Klobuchar primary upset, scandals, or national midterm dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$44,957 交易量
$44,957 交易量

民主黨
93%

共和黨
8%
$44,957 交易量
$44,957 交易量

民主黨
93%

共和黨
8%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar's strong polling lead over fragmented Republican contenders drives trader consensus implying a 92.5% chance of a Democratic governor win in the November 3, 2026, general election. Following Gov. Tim Walz's January 5 withdrawal amid a state fraud scandal—despite his prior reelection announcement—Klobuchar entered the race on January 29, quickly unifying DFL support with an overwhelming February caucus straw poll victory. Recent KSTP/SurveyUSA polling shows her ahead by 20 points against House Speaker Lisa Demuth and others in a crowded GOP primary set for August 11. While Minnesota leans Democratic, shifts could arise from Republican consolidation behind a viable nominee, Klobuchar primary upset, scandals, or national midterm dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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