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政治·主要

密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

喬斯林·本森 90%

Marni Sawicki 4.0%

克里斯·斯旺森 2.7%

加林·吉爾克里斯特 1.4%

Polymarket
最新

喬斯林·本森 90%

Marni Sawicki 4.0%

克里斯·斯旺森 2.7%

加林·吉爾克里斯特 1.4%

Polymarket
最新

喬斯林·本森

$2,971 交易量

90%

Marni Sawicki

$0 交易量

4%

克里斯·斯旺森

$0 交易量

3%

加林·吉爾克里斯特

$0 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands overwhelming trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win Michigan's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 4, propelled by Lieutenant Governor Garlin Gilchrist's January 12 withdrawal from the race to pursue the secretary of state nomination instead, clearing a major rival and positioning her as the establishment frontrunner with high name recognition. Recent endorsements from state legislators including Senators Stephanie Chang and Sarah Anthony, the Black Mayors of Michigan, Reproductive Freedom for All, GIFFORDS PAC, and the Michigan Nurses Association have further solidified her support among key Democratic constituencies. Challengers like Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson and former Cape Coral Mayor Marni Sawicki trail with limited statewide profiles, while Gilchrist retains minimal lingering bets; late-breaking scandals or a surge by an unendorsed contender could still shift dynamics in this open primary following term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$2,971
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands overwhelming trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win Michigan's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 4, propelled by Lieutenant Governor Garlin Gilchrist's January 12 withdrawal from the race to pursue the secretary of state nomination instead, clearing a major rival and positioning her as the establishment frontrunner with high name recognition. Recent endorsements from state legislators including Senators Stephanie Chang and Sarah Anthony, the Black Mayors of Michigan, Reproductive Freedom for All, GIFFORDS PAC, and the Michigan Nurses Association have further solidified her support among key Democratic constituencies. Challengers like Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson and former Cape Coral Mayor Marni Sawicki trail with limited statewide profiles, while Gilchrist retains minimal lingering bets; late-breaking scandals or a surge by an unendorsed contender could still shift dynamics in this open primary following term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$2,971
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬斯林·本森" at 90%, followed by "Marni Sawicki" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 10, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "喬斯林·本森" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marni Sawicki" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.