麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Name: 麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者
Start: 2025-12-02T20:45:41.136Z
End: 2026-09-01T00:00:00.000Z

政治·主要

麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Ed Markey 87%

塞斯·莫爾頓 12%

Ayanna Pressley 2.4%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

NEW

Sep 1, 2026

Ed Markey

$2,557 交易量

87%

塞斯·莫爾頓

$0 交易量

12%

Ayanna Pressley

$0 交易量

Alexander Rikleen

$0 交易量

<1%

Ed Markey 87%

塞斯·莫爾頓 12%

Ayanna Pressley 2.4%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

NEW

Sep 1, 2026

Ed Markey

$2,557 交易量

87%

塞斯·莫爾頓

$0 交易量

12%

Ayanna Pressley

$0 交易量

Alexander Rikleen

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey's commanding 86.5% trader consensus in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary stems from his long tenure, superior fundraising, and incumbency edge in a safely blue state, reinforced by recent polls showing him leading potential challengers by wide margins. Rep. Seth Moulton's 11.5% position reflects his vocal critiques of Markey on foreign policy and energy issues, plus exploratory signals of a 2026 bid appealing to moderates. Rep. Ayanna Pressley's slim 2.4% odds align with her focus on her House district amid no formal campaign launch, while Alexander Rikleen lingers at 0.4% as a minor entrant. No disruptive events like withdrawals or endorsements have shifted dynamics lately, with the primary distant in 2026.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 22, 2026, 3:14 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ed Markey" at 87%, followed by "塞斯·莫爾頓" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 2, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Ed Markey" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "塞斯·莫爾頓" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 87¢ for "Ed Markey" in the "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 87% chance that "Ed Markey" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 87¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 13¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Sep 1, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (1)

頂級持倉者

持倉

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Frequently Asked Questions

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