Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 51.5% implied probability to win Maryland's June 23 Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his strongest name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee and loyal conservative base in a fractured, low-visibility field lacking polls or major fundraising disclosures. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 32.9% following his February lieutenant governor pick announcement, but faces skepticism over his recent Democratic-to-Republican switch and quiet campaign efforts. Both frontrunners skipped the first primary debate on March 26, allowing underdogs like John Myrick to highlight absences and criticize electability amid affordability and safety discussions. Former Gov. Larry Hogan's January declination keeps his odds minimal at 1.7%, emphasizing the open primary dynamics with 12 weeks until voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於丹·考克斯 52%
Ed Hale 32.6%
克里斯多福·布舍 5%
史蒂夫·赫希 4.5%
$472,297 交易量
$472,297 交易量
丹·考克斯
52%
Ed Hale
33%
克里斯多福·布舍
5%
史蒂夫·赫希
5%
Kurt Wedekind
3%
卡爾·布倫納
3%
約翰·麥瑞克
3%
拉里·霍根
2%
丹·考克斯 52%
Ed Hale 32.6%
克里斯多福·布舍 5%
史蒂夫·赫希 4.5%
$472,297 交易量
$472,297 交易量
丹·考克斯
52%
Ed Hale
33%
克里斯多福·布舍
5%
史蒂夫·赫希
5%
Kurt Wedekind
3%
卡爾·布倫納
3%
約翰·麥瑞克
3%
拉里·霍根
2%
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 51.5% implied probability to win Maryland's June 23 Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his strongest name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee and loyal conservative base in a fractured, low-visibility field lacking polls or major fundraising disclosures. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 32.9% following his February lieutenant governor pick announcement, but faces skepticism over his recent Democratic-to-Republican switch and quiet campaign efforts. Both frontrunners skipped the first primary debate on March 26, allowing underdogs like John Myrick to highlight absences and criticize electability amid affordability and safety discussions. Former Gov. Larry Hogan's January declination keeps his odds minimal at 1.7%, emphasizing the open primary dynamics with 12 weeks until voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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