The Iowa governor race stays tightly contested with trader consensus implying a 52.5% chance for the Democratic nominee—likely State Auditor Rob Sand, running unopposed in the June 2 primary—over the Republican at 45.5%, driven by the open seat after incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds chose not to seek re-election. Sand's strong fundraising edge, prior statewide victories, and early polls showing leads over leading GOP contender Rep. Randy Feenstra have bolstered his position amid a fragmented Republican primary field of five candidates, highlighted by recent Polk County Lincoln Dinner debates and signature challenges. GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee or national midterm dynamics could tip the balance in this battleground-state contest ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$24,672 交易量
$24,672 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
53%
共和黨
46%
$24,672 交易量
$24,672 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$11,474 交易量
53%
共和黨
$13,198 交易量
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Iowa governor race stays tightly contested with trader consensus implying a 52.5% chance for the Democratic nominee—likely State Auditor Rob Sand, running unopposed in the June 2 primary—over the Republican at 45.5%, driven by the open seat after incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds chose not to seek re-election. Sand's strong fundraising edge, prior statewide victories, and early polls showing leads over leading GOP contender Rep. Randy Feenstra have bolstered his position amid a fragmented Republican primary field of five candidates, highlighted by recent Polk County Lincoln Dinner debates and signature challenges. GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee or national midterm dynamics could tip the balance in this battleground-state contest ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$24,672結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Iowa governor race stays tightly contested with trader consensus implying a 52.5% chance for the Democratic nominee—likely State Auditor Rob Sand, running unopposed in the June 2 primary—over the Republican at 45.5%, driven by the open seat after incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds chose not to seek re-election. Sand's strong fundraising edge, prior statewide victories, and early polls showing leads over leading GOP contender Rep. Randy Feenstra have bolstered his position amid a fragmented Republican primary field of five candidates, highlighted by recent Polk County Lincoln Dinner debates and signature challenges. GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee or national midterm dynamics could tip the balance in this battleground-state contest ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$24,672結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Iowa governor race stays tightly contested with trader consensus implying a 52.5% chance for the Democratic nominee—likely State Auditor Rob Sand, running unopposed in the June 2 primary—over the Republican at 45.5%, driven by the open seat after incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds chose not to seek re-election. Sand's strong fundraising edge, prior statewide victories, and early polls showing leads over leading GOP contender Rep. Randy Feenstra have bolstered his position amid a fragmented Republican primary field of five candidates, highlighted by recent Polk County Lincoln Dinner debates and signature challenges. GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee or national midterm dynamics could tip the balance in this battleground-state contest ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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