Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first direct missile strike on Israel on March 28, 2026—their inaugural attack since the US-Israeli war against Iran intensified—claiming it in solidarity with Tehran and regional resistance groups amid escalating airstrikes and military actions. Israeli defenses intercepted the ballistic and cruise missiles, with the Houthis announcing a second barrage of missiles and drones shortly after, prompting sirens across central Israel. This marks a significant proxy escalation in the broader Iran-Israel conflict, with Houthi leaders vowing sustained operations until hostilities cease. Traders should monitor potential Israeli or US retaliatory strikes on Yemen, Houthi Red Sea disruptions, and diplomatic signals from Gulf states, as further launches could heighten multi-front risks before any ceasefire talks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$930,523 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
27%
4月15日
61%
$930,523 交易量
3月31日
$873,246 交易量
27%
4月15日
$57,284 交易量
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first direct missile strike on Israel on March 28, 2026—their inaugural attack since the US-Israeli war against Iran intensified—claiming it in solidarity with Tehran and regional resistance groups amid escalating airstrikes and military actions. Israeli defenses intercepted the ballistic and cruise missiles, with the Houthis announcing a second barrage of missiles and drones shortly after, prompting sirens across central Israel. This marks a significant proxy escalation in the broader Iran-Israel conflict, with Houthi leaders vowing sustained operations until hostilities cease. Traders should monitor potential Israeli or US retaliatory strikes on Yemen, Houthi Red Sea disruptions, and diplomatic signals from Gulf states, as further launches could heighten multi-front risks before any ceasefire talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
交易量
$930,523結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first direct missile strike on Israel on March 28, 2026—their inaugural attack since the US-Israeli war against Iran intensified—claiming it in solidarity with Tehran and regional resistance groups amid escalating airstrikes and military actions. Israeli defenses intercepted the ballistic and cruise missiles, with the Houthis announcing a second barrage of missiles and drones shortly after, prompting sirens across central Israel. This marks a significant proxy escalation in the broader Iran-Israel conflict, with Houthi leaders vowing sustained operations until hostilities cease. Traders should monitor potential Israeli or US retaliatory strikes on Yemen, Houthi Red Sea disruptions, and diplomatic signals from Gulf states, as further launches could heighten multi-front risks before any ceasefire talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$930,523結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first direct missile strike on Israel on March 28, 2026—their inaugural attack since the US-Israeli war against Iran intensified—claiming it in solidarity with Tehran and regional resistance groups amid escalating airstrikes and military actions. Israeli defenses intercepted the ballistic and cruise missiles, with the Houthis announcing a second barrage of missiles and drones shortly after, prompting sirens across central Israel. This marks a significant proxy escalation in the broader Iran-Israel conflict, with Houthi leaders vowing sustained operations until hostilities cease. Traders should monitor potential Israeli or US retaliatory strikes on Yemen, Houthi Red Sea disruptions, and diplomatic signals from Gulf states, as further launches could heighten multi-front risks before any ceasefire talks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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