Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 1, backed by Environment Canada's official hourly observations showing that precise maximum amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 20 km/h, which capped daytime heating after an overnight start near 9°C. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre's models, which projected highs near 10°C under a cool air mass influenced by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Great Lakes region—consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 11°C but variability from synoptic patterns often yields such outcomes. With data now verified from the airport's automated sensors, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning barring rare post hoc revisions from quality control audits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月1日多倫多氣溫最高?
4月1日多倫多氣溫最高?
10°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$399,779 交易量
$399,779 交易量
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或以上
否
10°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$399,779 交易量
$399,779 交易量
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 1, backed by Environment Canada's official hourly observations showing that precise maximum amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 20 km/h, which capped daytime heating after an overnight start near 9°C. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre's models, which projected highs near 10°C under a cool air mass influenced by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Great Lakes region—consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 11°C but variability from synoptic patterns often yields such outcomes. With data now verified from the airport's automated sensors, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning barring rare post hoc revisions from quality control audits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions