Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 52-53°F high temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 2, backed by official observations confirming this exact range from standardized NOAA Weather Underground records. Leading into the date, National Weather Service short-fuse forecasts converged on subdued highs due to persistent marine stratus clouds, cool onshore flow from the Pacific, and light southerly winds limiting daytime heating under overcast skies—conditions typical of early April's climatological normals around 56-58°F but suppressed by a stable cool air mass. Realistic challenges, such as a sudden clearing or measurement anomaly, were deemed negligible by models like GFS and HRRR ensembles, with next NWS CLI report expected to validate the data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月2日西雅圖的最高溫度?
4月2日西雅圖的最高溫度?
52-53華氏度 100.0%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
58°F或更高 <1%
$158,615 交易量
$158,615 交易量
52-53華氏度
100%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F或更高
<1%
52-53華氏度 100.0%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
58°F或更高 <1%
$158,615 交易量
$158,615 交易量
52-53華氏度
100%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 52-53°F high temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 2, backed by official observations confirming this exact range from standardized NOAA Weather Underground records. Leading into the date, National Weather Service short-fuse forecasts converged on subdued highs due to persistent marine stratus clouds, cool onshore flow from the Pacific, and light southerly winds limiting daytime heating under overcast skies—conditions typical of early April's climatological normals around 56-58°F but suppressed by a stable cool air mass. Realistic challenges, such as a sudden clearing or measurement anomaly, were deemed negligible by models like GFS and HRRR ensembles, with next NWS CLI report expected to validate the data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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