Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (59.4% implied probability) as London's highest temperature at City Airport on April 3, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15–16°C under overcast skies and mild southwest winds advecting warmer Atlantic air. Recent model updates from April 2 shifted odds upward from earlier 13°C projections four days ago, reflecting improved consensus on partial cloud breaks allowing peaks near historical early April averages of 14–15°C. Light rain risks temper 17°C+ chances (9.6%), while cooler outcomes recede amid low easterly wind influence. Monitor hourly observations through evening for resolution, as short-range uncertainty persists in urban heat effects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on April 3?
Highest temperature in London on April 3?
16°C 63.1%
15°C 21.3%
17°C or higher 9.6%
14°C 4.4%
$117,085 交易量
$117,085 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
21%
16°C
63%
17°C or higher
10%
16°C 63.1%
15°C 21.3%
17°C or higher 9.6%
14°C 4.4%
$117,085 交易量
$117,085 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
21%
16°C
63%
17°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (59.4% implied probability) as London's highest temperature at City Airport on April 3, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15–16°C under overcast skies and mild southwest winds advecting warmer Atlantic air. Recent model updates from April 2 shifted odds upward from earlier 13°C projections four days ago, reflecting improved consensus on partial cloud breaks allowing peaks near historical early April averages of 14–15°C. Light rain risks temper 17°C+ chances (9.6%), while cooler outcomes recede amid low easterly wind influence. Monitor hourly observations through evening for resolution, as short-range uncertainty persists in urban heat effects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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