Trader consensus favors the Democratic nominee at 60.5% implied probability for Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial contest, driven by Keisha Lance Bottoms' commanding lead in Democratic primary polls ahead of the May 19 vote, where she holds 35-43% support per recent Emerson College (early March) and University of Georgia surveys, far ahead of rivals like Geoff Duncan and Michael Thurmond amid high undecideds. Republicans trail at 40%, hampered by a crowded primary field with no clear frontrunner—Rick Jackson edges Burt Jones at 26% versus 20% in aggregates from JMC Analytics (March 9) and others—risking a divisive runoff on June 16. Qualifying closed March 6 finalized 15 candidates, amplifying GOP fragmentation in this battleground state.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$30,174 交易量
$30,174 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
61%
共和黨
40%
$30,174 交易量
$30,174 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$18,046 交易量
61%
共和黨
$12,128 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors the Democratic nominee at 60.5% implied probability for Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial contest, driven by Keisha Lance Bottoms' commanding lead in Democratic primary polls ahead of the May 19 vote, where she holds 35-43% support per recent Emerson College (early March) and University of Georgia surveys, far ahead of rivals like Geoff Duncan and Michael Thurmond amid high undecideds. Republicans trail at 40%, hampered by a crowded primary field with no clear frontrunner—Rick Jackson edges Burt Jones at 26% versus 20% in aggregates from JMC Analytics (March 9) and others—risking a divisive runoff on June 16. Qualifying closed March 6 finalized 15 candidates, amplifying GOP fragmentation in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$30,174結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors the Democratic nominee at 60.5% implied probability for Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial contest, driven by Keisha Lance Bottoms' commanding lead in Democratic primary polls ahead of the May 19 vote, where she holds 35-43% support per recent Emerson College (early March) and University of Georgia surveys, far ahead of rivals like Geoff Duncan and Michael Thurmond amid high undecideds. Republicans trail at 40%, hampered by a crowded primary field with no clear frontrunner—Rick Jackson edges Burt Jones at 26% versus 20% in aggregates from JMC Analytics (March 9) and others—risking a divisive runoff on June 16. Qualifying closed March 6 finalized 15 candidates, amplifying GOP fragmentation in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$30,174結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic nominee at 60.5% implied probability for Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial contest, driven by Keisha Lance Bottoms' commanding lead in Democratic primary polls ahead of the May 19 vote, where she holds 35-43% support per recent Emerson College (early March) and University of Georgia surveys, far ahead of rivals like Geoff Duncan and Michael Thurmond amid high undecideds. Republicans trail at 40%, hampered by a crowded primary field with no clear frontrunner—Rick Jackson edges Burt Jones at 26% versus 20% in aggregates from JMC Analytics (March 9) and others—risking a divisive runoff on June 16. Qualifying closed March 6 finalized 15 candidates, amplifying GOP fragmentation in this battleground state.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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