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選舉·主要

FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者

$12,047 交易量

Polymarket

$12,047 交易量

賈里德·莫斯科維茨

$4,361 交易量

67%

奧利佛·亞當斯·拉金

$7,686 交易量

34%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand as of late 2025 compared to challenger Oliver Larkin's $45,000, and established name recognition among likely voters in Florida's closed primary system. Larkin's 33.5% share has gained from a March internal poll sponsored by his campaign, where he led 49%-36% after balanced bios amid 63% of respondents favoring reduced U.S. military aid to Israel and strong opposition to Iran strikes—issues where Moskowitz diverges. Recent national DSA endorsement of Larkin further boosts progressive turnout potential ahead of the August 18 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$12,047
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand as of late 2025 compared to challenger Oliver Larkin's $45,000, and established name recognition among likely voters in Florida's closed primary system. Larkin's 33.5% share has gained from a March internal poll sponsored by his campaign, where he led 49%-36% after balanced bios amid 63% of respondents favoring reduced U.S. military aid to Israel and strong opposition to Iran strikes—issues where Moskowitz diverges. Recent national DSA endorsement of Larkin further boosts progressive turnout potential ahead of the August 18 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$12,047
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "賈里德·莫斯科維茨" at 67%, followed by "奧利佛·亞當斯·拉金" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $12K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者" is "賈里德·莫斯科維茨" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "奧利佛·亞當斯·拉金" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.