Incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Mast's commanding lead in Florida's 18th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index of R+8, underpins trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 90.5% to win the November 5 general election. Mast secured re-election in 2022 by 22 points amid strong district support for former President Trump, and recent polling averages show him ahead by double digits against Democratic challenger Rickey Patel, bolstered by superior fundraising and no major scandals. While low-probability shifts could arise from a late-breaking controversy, unexpectedly high Democratic turnout in early voting, or Mast's personal challenges—including his recent combat prosthetic leg announcement—traders see minimal path for an upset in this low-turnout midterm environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和黨
91%
民主黨
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和黨
$0 交易量
91%
民主黨
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Mast's commanding lead in Florida's 18th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index of R+8, underpins trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 90.5% to win the November 5 general election. Mast secured re-election in 2022 by 22 points amid strong district support for former President Trump, and recent polling averages show him ahead by double digits against Democratic challenger Rickey Patel, bolstered by superior fundraising and no major scandals. While low-probability shifts could arise from a late-breaking controversy, unexpectedly high Democratic turnout in early voting, or Mast's personal challenges—including his recent combat prosthetic leg announcement—traders see minimal path for an upset in this low-turnout midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Mast's commanding lead in Florida's 18th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index of R+8, underpins trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 90.5% to win the November 5 general election. Mast secured re-election in 2022 by 22 points amid strong district support for former President Trump, and recent polling averages show him ahead by double digits against Democratic challenger Rickey Patel, bolstered by superior fundraising and no major scandals. While low-probability shifts could arise from a late-breaking controversy, unexpectedly high Democratic turnout in early voting, or Mast's personal challenges—including his recent combat prosthetic leg announcement—traders see minimal path for an upset in this low-turnout midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Mast's commanding lead in Florida's 18th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index of R+8, underpins trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 90.5% to win the November 5 general election. Mast secured re-election in 2022 by 22 points amid strong district support for former President Trump, and recent polling averages show him ahead by double digits against Democratic challenger Rickey Patel, bolstered by superior fundraising and no major scandals. While low-probability shifts could arise from a late-breaking controversy, unexpectedly high Democratic turnout in early voting, or Mast's personal challenges—including his recent combat prosthetic leg announcement—traders see minimal path for an upset in this low-turnout midterm environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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