Incumbent Republican Cory Mills' strong 2024 reelection victory by 13 points, aligning with the district's R+5 Partisan Voter Index and Trump's comparable presidential margin, anchors trader consensus at 77% for a Republican hold in Florida's 7th Congressional District. Recent Trump endorsement in February further solidified Mills amid a competitive GOP primary against Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich, despite his Q4 2025 fundraising lag behind Democrat Bale Dalton, who consolidated support after Noah Widmann's January dropout. Democratic primary remains fragmented among Dalton, Jennifer Adams, and Marialana Kinter, limiting challenge potential per Safe Republican (Sabato) and Solid Republican (Cook) ratings. Florida special election Democratic flips last week signal midterm risks, but district fundamentals favor the GOP ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和黨
77%
民主黨
20%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和黨
$0 交易量
77%
民主黨
$0 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cory Mills' strong 2024 reelection victory by 13 points, aligning with the district's R+5 Partisan Voter Index and Trump's comparable presidential margin, anchors trader consensus at 77% for a Republican hold in Florida's 7th Congressional District. Recent Trump endorsement in February further solidified Mills amid a competitive GOP primary against Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich, despite his Q4 2025 fundraising lag behind Democrat Bale Dalton, who consolidated support after Noah Widmann's January dropout. Democratic primary remains fragmented among Dalton, Jennifer Adams, and Marialana Kinter, limiting challenge potential per Safe Republican (Sabato) and Solid Republican (Cook) ratings. Florida special election Democratic flips last week signal midterm risks, but district fundamentals favor the GOP ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cory Mills' strong 2024 reelection victory by 13 points, aligning with the district's R+5 Partisan Voter Index and Trump's comparable presidential margin, anchors trader consensus at 77% for a Republican hold in Florida's 7th Congressional District. Recent Trump endorsement in February further solidified Mills amid a competitive GOP primary against Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich, despite his Q4 2025 fundraising lag behind Democrat Bale Dalton, who consolidated support after Noah Widmann's January dropout. Democratic primary remains fragmented among Dalton, Jennifer Adams, and Marialana Kinter, limiting challenge potential per Safe Republican (Sabato) and Solid Republican (Cook) ratings. Florida special election Democratic flips last week signal midterm risks, but district fundamentals favor the GOP ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cory Mills' strong 2024 reelection victory by 13 points, aligning with the district's R+5 Partisan Voter Index and Trump's comparable presidential margin, anchors trader consensus at 77% for a Republican hold in Florida's 7th Congressional District. Recent Trump endorsement in February further solidified Mills amid a competitive GOP primary against Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich, despite his Q4 2025 fundraising lag behind Democrat Bale Dalton, who consolidated support after Noah Widmann's January dropout. Democratic primary remains fragmented among Dalton, Jennifer Adams, and Marialana Kinter, limiting challenge potential per Safe Republican (Sabato) and Solid Republican (Cook) ratings. Florida special election Democratic flips last week signal midterm risks, but district fundamentals favor the GOP ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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