Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1,300-1,400 Elon Musk tweets for April 2026, implying a steady 43-47 posts per day, extrapolated from his consistent high-volume X activity averaging 40-50 daily in recent months amid political commentary, Tesla updates, and viral memes. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted this baseline, as Musk's posting remains reliably prolific without significant lulls or surges. The closely matched leading bins—11.3% for 1,360-1,399 down to 9.1% for 1,440-1,479—reflect uncertainty over potential spikes from breaking news, elections, or platform tweaks, versus quieter periods, with historical peaks during controversies like the 2024 U.S. campaign underscoring the volatility traders price in for this far-future month. Key differentiators include sustained engagement metrics and any 2025-2026 event calendars that could amplify or dampen his social media dominance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於1360-1399 10.6%
1320-1359 9.2%
1400-1439 9.0%
1440-1479 8.9%
$4,333,154 交易量
$4,333,154 交易量
少於20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
<1%
840-879
1%
880-919
<1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
1%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
2%
1160-1199
4%
1200-1239
4%
1240-1279
5%
1280-1319
9%
1320-1359
9%
1360-1399
11%
1400-1439
9%
1440-1479
9%
1480-1519
8%
1520-1559
5%
1560-1599
4%
1600-1679
2%
1680-1759
3%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000條以上
2%
1360-1399 10.6%
1320-1359 9.2%
1400-1439 9.0%
1440-1479 8.9%
$4,333,154 交易量
$4,333,154 交易量
少於20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
<1%
840-879
1%
880-919
<1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
1%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
2%
1160-1199
4%
1200-1239
4%
1240-1279
5%
1280-1319
9%
1320-1359
9%
1360-1399
11%
1400-1439
9%
1440-1479
9%
1480-1519
8%
1520-1559
5%
1560-1599
4%
1600-1679
2%
1680-1759
3%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000條以上
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1,300-1,400 Elon Musk tweets for April 2026, implying a steady 43-47 posts per day, extrapolated from his consistent high-volume X activity averaging 40-50 daily in recent months amid political commentary, Tesla updates, and viral memes. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted this baseline, as Musk's posting remains reliably prolific without significant lulls or surges. The closely matched leading bins—11.3% for 1,360-1,399 down to 9.1% for 1,440-1,479—reflect uncertainty over potential spikes from breaking news, elections, or platform tweaks, versus quieter periods, with historical peaks during controversies like the 2024 U.S. campaign underscoring the volatility traders price in for this far-future month. Key differentiators include sustained engagement metrics and any 2025-2026 event calendars that could amplify or dampen his social media dominance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions