Colorado's 2026 gubernatorial race favors Democrats at 93% trader consensus, driven by term-limited Gov. Jared Polis's strong incumbency legacy in a state where Democrats hold all statewide offices and Republicans last won in 2006. Recent Democratic state assembly results saw Attorney General Phil Weiser secure 90% delegate support and the top primary ballot line for the June 30 contest, alongside his record $5.6 million Q1 fundraising haul eclipsing prior benchmarks. A fragmented Republican primary with over 15 candidates, including Barbara Kirkmeyer and Victor Marx at 20% each per Colorado Pols estimates, dilutes GOP viability amid a Magellan Strategies poll showing generic Democrats leading 50-38%. Upsets would require a consolidated Republican nominee, Democratic primary scandal, or national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
民主黨
93%

共和黨
6%

民主黨
93%

共和黨
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado's 2026 gubernatorial race favors Democrats at 93% trader consensus, driven by term-limited Gov. Jared Polis's strong incumbency legacy in a state where Democrats hold all statewide offices and Republicans last won in 2006. Recent Democratic state assembly results saw Attorney General Phil Weiser secure 90% delegate support and the top primary ballot line for the June 30 contest, alongside his record $5.6 million Q1 fundraising haul eclipsing prior benchmarks. A fragmented Republican primary with over 15 candidates, including Barbara Kirkmeyer and Victor Marx at 20% each per Colorado Pols estimates, dilutes GOP viability amid a Magellan Strategies poll showing generic Democrats leading 50-38%. Upsets would require a consolidated Republican nominee, Democratic primary scandal, or national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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