A recent data leak from Anthropic's servers, first reported five days ago, exposed internal documents confirming Claude Mythos as the company's most advanced large language model to date—internally codenamed Capybara and touted as a "step change" in AI capabilities, excelling in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity benchmarks while posing unprecedented autonomous attack risks. Traders view this as strong evidence of Anthropic's ownership and lead development, with the firm now testing it via limited early-access customers amid government warnings on dual-use dangers. No rival labs like OpenAI or xAI have claimed involvement, heightening consensus around Anthropic, though release timelines remain uncertain due to safety evaluations; watch for official announcements or further leaks that could accelerate deployment or spark regulatory scrutiny.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$56,794 交易量
April 30
22%
6月30日
54%
$56,794 交易量
April 30
22%
6月30日
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Mar 27, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A recent data leak from Anthropic's servers, first reported five days ago, exposed internal documents confirming Claude Mythos as the company's most advanced large language model to date—internally codenamed Capybara and touted as a "step change" in AI capabilities, excelling in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity benchmarks while posing unprecedented autonomous attack risks. Traders view this as strong evidence of Anthropic's ownership and lead development, with the firm now testing it via limited early-access customers amid government warnings on dual-use dangers. No rival labs like OpenAI or xAI have claimed involvement, heightening consensus around Anthropic, though release timelines remain uncertain due to safety evaluations; watch for official announcements or further leaks that could accelerate deployment or spark regulatory scrutiny.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions