Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in the R+7 district, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for the Republican Party in the AZ-02 House race, supported by his $2.4 million cash on hand compared to Democratic frontrunner Jonathan Nez's $649,000. Nez, former Navajo Nation president who outperformed Kamala Harris locally in 2024, recently qualified for the July 21 Democratic primary on March 20 and earned DCCC Red to Blue designation earlier this month, signaling national Democratic investment amid Nez supporters' protests against Crane on March 29. Absent public polls and with Crane securing signatures on March 13 ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, the market reflects incumbency advantages and partisan lean in this rural Arizona contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
共和黨
64%
民主黨
36%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
共和黨
$0 交易量
64%
民主黨
$165 交易量
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in the R+7 district, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for the Republican Party in the AZ-02 House race, supported by his $2.4 million cash on hand compared to Democratic frontrunner Jonathan Nez's $649,000. Nez, former Navajo Nation president who outperformed Kamala Harris locally in 2024, recently qualified for the July 21 Democratic primary on March 20 and earned DCCC Red to Blue designation earlier this month, signaling national Democratic investment amid Nez supporters' protests against Crane on March 29. Absent public polls and with Crane securing signatures on March 13 ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, the market reflects incumbency advantages and partisan lean in this rural Arizona contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
交易量
$165結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in the R+7 district, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for the Republican Party in the AZ-02 House race, supported by his $2.4 million cash on hand compared to Democratic frontrunner Jonathan Nez's $649,000. Nez, former Navajo Nation president who outperformed Kamala Harris locally in 2024, recently qualified for the July 21 Democratic primary on March 20 and earned DCCC Red to Blue designation earlier this month, signaling national Democratic investment amid Nez supporters' protests against Crane on March 29. Absent public polls and with Crane securing signatures on March 13 ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, the market reflects incumbency advantages and partisan lean in this rural Arizona contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$165結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in the R+7 district, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for the Republican Party in the AZ-02 House race, supported by his $2.4 million cash on hand compared to Democratic frontrunner Jonathan Nez's $649,000. Nez, former Navajo Nation president who outperformed Kamala Harris locally in 2024, recently qualified for the July 21 Democratic primary on March 20 and earned DCCC Red to Blue designation earlier this month, signaling national Democratic investment amid Nez supporters' protests against Crane on March 29. Absent public polls and with Crane securing signatures on March 13 ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, the market reflects incumbency advantages and partisan lean in this rural Arizona contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions