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政治·美國大選

Arkansas Governor Election Winner

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政治·美國大選

Arkansas Governor Election Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
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Republican

$5,002 交易量

94%

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Democrat

$0 交易量

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders holds approval ratings around 55% in the latest polls, reinforcing trader consensus at 93.8% odds for a Republican win in Arkansas' 2026 gubernatorial election amid the state's deep-red political landscape. GOP candidates have secured double-digit victories in the last three governor races, including Sanders' 63%-34% triumph in 2022, supported by a supermajority Republican legislature and voter registration edges exceeding 30 points. No credible Democratic challengers have announced, with recent polling showing hypothetical matchups favoring Republicans by 20+ points. While filing deadlines loom in late 2025 and primaries in March 2026, upset scenarios would require a GOP nominee scandal, Sanders opting out, or an improbable national Democratic surge akin to 2006 or 2008.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$5,002
結束日期
Nov 3, 2026
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders holds approval ratings around 55% in the latest polls, reinforcing trader consensus at 93.8% odds for a Republican win in Arkansas' 2026 gubernatorial election amid the state's deep-red political landscape. GOP candidates have secured double-digit victories in the last three governor races, including Sanders' 63%-34% triumph in 2022, supported by a supermajority Republican legislature and voter registration edges exceeding 30 points. No credible Democratic challengers have announced, with recent polling showing hypothetical matchups favoring Republicans by 20+ points. While filing deadlines loom in late 2025 and primaries in March 2026, upset scenarios would require a GOP nominee scandal, Sanders opting out, or an improbable national Democratic surge akin to 2006 or 2008.

Incumbent Republican Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders holds approval ratings around 55% in the latest polls, reinforcing trader consensus at 93.8% odds for a Republican win in Arkansas' 2026 gubernatorial election amid the state's deep-red political landscape. GOP candidates have secured double-digit victories in the last three governor races, including Sanders' 63%-34% triumph in 2022, supported by a supermajority Republican legislature and voter registration edges exceeding 30 points. No credible Democratic challengers have announced, with recent polling showing hypothetical matchups favoring Republicans by 20+ points. While filing deadlines loom in late 2025 and primaries in March 2026, upset scenarios would require a GOP nominee scandal, Sanders opting out, or an improbable national Democratic surge akin to 2006 or 2008.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Arkansas Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Republican" at 94%, followed by "Democrat" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Arkansas Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Oct 13, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Arkansas Governor Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Arkansas Governor Election Winner" is "Republican" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Democrat" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Arkansas Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.