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政治·中期

阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家

Market icon
政治·中期

阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家

湯姆·貝吉奇 25%

伯納黛特·威爾遜 22%

特雷格·泰勒 16.4%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 12%

Polymarket

$738,488 交易量

湯姆·貝吉奇 25%

伯納黛特·威爾遜 22%

特雷格·泰勒 16.4%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 12%

Polymarket

$738,488 交易量

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湯姆·貝吉奇

$95,106 交易量

25%

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伯納黛特·威爾遜

$129,987 交易量

22%

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特雷格·泰勒

$2,819 交易量

16%

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Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$460 交易量

12%

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南希·達爾斯特羅姆

$98,101 交易量

11%

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Click Bishop

$2,424 交易量

4%

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大衛·布朗森

$2,197 交易量

3%

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瑪麗·佩爾托拉

$319,886 交易量

3%

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布魯斯·沃爾登

$139 交易量

3%

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馬特·赫伊拉拉

$23,816 交易量

2%

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麗莎·穆爾科斯基

$2,417 交易量

2%

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雪莉·休斯

$2,908 交易量

1%

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馬特·克拉曼

$126 交易量

1%

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埃德娜·德弗里斯

$2,593 交易量

1%

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亞當·克拉姆

$31,706 交易量

1%

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漢克·克羅爾

$273 交易量

<1%

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詹姆斯·帕金

$23,531 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open top-four primary for governor on August 18—triggered by term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy's exit—a fragmented field of over 18 candidates keeps trader consensus tight, with Democrat Tom Begich leading at 24.5% implied probability amid GOP vote splits among Bernadette Wilson (21.5%), Treg Taylor (16.8%), and others like Nancy Dahlstrom (11.4%). Recent February fundraising reports highlighted self-funding surges by Taylor, Begich, and Wilson, while polls like Lake Research Partners (Begich +22%) and Alaska Survey Research (Begich +21%) show him ahead in hypothetical first rounds, though conservative samples favor Republicans like Click Bishop. Recent Mat-Su candidate forums elevated visibility, but endorsements, dropouts, or new polling could consolidate support and shift ranked-choice general election dynamics on November 3.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$738,488
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open top-four primary for governor on August 18—triggered by term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy's exit—a fragmented field of over 18 candidates keeps trader consensus tight, with Democrat Tom Begich leading at 24.5% implied probability amid GOP vote splits among Bernadette Wilson (21.5%), Treg Taylor (16.8%), and others like Nancy Dahlstrom (11.4%). Recent February fundraising reports highlighted self-funding surges by Taylor, Begich, and Wilson, while polls like Lake Research Partners (Begich +22%) and Alaska Survey Research (Begich +21%) show him ahead in hypothetical first rounds, though conservative samples favor Republicans like Click Bishop. Recent Mat-Su candidate forums elevated visibility, but endorsements, dropouts, or new polling could consolidate support and shift ranked-choice general election dynamics on November 3.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$738,488
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 25%, followed by "伯納黛特·威爾遜" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " has generated $738.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " is "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "伯納黛特·威爾遜" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.