Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters commands a commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District, bolstered by the district's solid Democratic rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, following voter-approved Proposition 50 redistricting in November 2025 that enhanced Democratic leans with Harris winning 58% there in 2024. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026 and holds over $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers including fellow Democrats Tim Arnous and Aishwarya Mitra, Republican Steve Cohen, Libertarian Joseph Shea, and no-party-preference candidate Lucinda Jahn ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner reflects incumbency advantage and weak GOP field, though a Republican top-two finish, Peters scandal, or midterm turnout surge could challenge this.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-50 House Election Winner
CA-50 House Election Winner
$32,807 Обс.
$32,807 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$32,807 Обс.
$32,807 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,619 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$15,188 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters commands a commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District, bolstered by the district's solid Democratic rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, following voter-approved Proposition 50 redistricting in November 2025 that enhanced Democratic leans with Harris winning 58% there in 2024. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026 and holds over $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers including fellow Democrats Tim Arnous and Aishwarya Mitra, Republican Steve Cohen, Libertarian Joseph Shea, and no-party-preference candidate Lucinda Jahn ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner reflects incumbency advantage and weak GOP field, though a Republican top-two finish, Peters scandal, or midterm turnout surge could challenge this.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,807Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters commands a commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District, bolstered by the district's solid Democratic rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, following voter-approved Proposition 50 redistricting in November 2025 that enhanced Democratic leans with Harris winning 58% there in 2024. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026 and holds over $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers including fellow Democrats Tim Arnous and Aishwarya Mitra, Republican Steve Cohen, Libertarian Joseph Shea, and no-party-preference candidate Lucinda Jahn ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner reflects incumbency advantage and weak GOP field, though a Republican top-two finish, Peters scandal, or midterm turnout surge could challenge this.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$32,807Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters commands a commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District, bolstered by the district's solid Democratic rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, following voter-approved Proposition 50 redistricting in November 2025 that enhanced Democratic leans with Harris winning 58% there in 2024. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026 and holds over $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers including fellow Democrats Tim Arnous and Aishwarya Mitra, Republican Steve Cohen, Libertarian Joseph Shea, and no-party-preference candidate Lucinda Jahn ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner reflects incumbency advantage and weak GOP field, though a Republican top-two finish, Peters scandal, or midterm turnout surge could challenge this.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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