New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a Democratic Partisan Voting Index of D+7, reflecting consistent voter preference in Albuquerque and surrounding areas that has produced double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury secured renomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating services classify the contest as Solid Democratic based on fundraising patterns, past turnout data, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter registration. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national electoral wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected local development could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district's baseline metrics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNM-01 House Election Winner
NM-01 House Election Winner
$33,654 Обс.
$33,654 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$33,654 Обс.
$33,654 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,752 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$15,902 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a Democratic Partisan Voting Index of D+7, reflecting consistent voter preference in Albuquerque and surrounding areas that has produced double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury secured renomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating services classify the contest as Solid Democratic based on fundraising patterns, past turnout data, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter registration. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national electoral wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected local development could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district's baseline metrics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,654Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a Democratic Partisan Voting Index of D+7, reflecting consistent voter preference in Albuquerque and surrounding areas that has produced double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury secured renomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating services classify the contest as Solid Democratic based on fundraising patterns, past turnout data, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter registration. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national electoral wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected local development could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district's baseline metrics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$33,654Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a Democratic Partisan Voting Index of D+7, reflecting consistent voter preference in Albuquerque and surrounding areas that has produced double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury secured renomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating services classify the contest as Solid Democratic based on fundraising patterns, past turnout data, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter registration. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national electoral wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected local development could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district's baseline metrics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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