Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against another U.S. sovereign credit rating downgrade before 2027, reflecting stable outlooks from S&P (AA+), Fitch (AA+), and Moody's (Aa1) following Moody's May 2025 action that aligned all three agencies below AAA amid unchecked fiscal deficits. Recent Fitch analysis on April 30, 2026, flagged widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP through 2028 and debt-to-GDP climbing to 122% by end-2027—far above AA peers—but stopped short of action, citing resilient U.S. growth and dollar reserve status as offsets. Key swing factors include looming debt ceiling deadlines and midterm fiscal policy shifts, with no acute brinkmanship evident in recent Treasury auctions or borrowing costs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$10,086 Обс.
$10,086 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,086 Обс.
$10,086 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against another U.S. sovereign credit rating downgrade before 2027, reflecting stable outlooks from S&P (AA+), Fitch (AA+), and Moody's (Aa1) following Moody's May 2025 action that aligned all three agencies below AAA amid unchecked fiscal deficits. Recent Fitch analysis on April 30, 2026, flagged widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP through 2028 and debt-to-GDP climbing to 122% by end-2027—far above AA peers—but stopped short of action, citing resilient U.S. growth and dollar reserve status as offsets. Key swing factors include looming debt ceiling deadlines and midterm fiscal policy shifts, with no acute brinkmanship evident in recent Treasury auctions or borrowing costs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,086Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against another U.S. sovereign credit rating downgrade before 2027, reflecting stable outlooks from S&P (AA+), Fitch (AA+), and Moody's (Aa1) following Moody's May 2025 action that aligned all three agencies below AAA amid unchecked fiscal deficits. Recent Fitch analysis on April 30, 2026, flagged widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP through 2028 and debt-to-GDP climbing to 122% by end-2027—far above AA peers—but stopped short of action, citing resilient U.S. growth and dollar reserve status as offsets. Key swing factors include looming debt ceiling deadlines and midterm fiscal policy shifts, with no acute brinkmanship evident in recent Treasury auctions or borrowing costs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$10,086Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against another U.S. sovereign credit rating downgrade before 2027, reflecting stable outlooks from S&P (AA+), Fitch (AA+), and Moody's (Aa1) following Moody's May 2025 action that aligned all three agencies below AAA amid unchecked fiscal deficits. Recent Fitch analysis on April 30, 2026, flagged widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP through 2028 and debt-to-GDP climbing to 122% by end-2027—far above AA peers—but stopped short of action, citing resilient U.S. growth and dollar reserve status as offsets. Key swing factors include looming debt ceiling deadlines and midterm fiscal policy shifts, with no acute brinkmanship evident in recent Treasury auctions or borrowing costs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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