Sovereign credit rating agencies have aligned at lower tiers following Moody’s downgrade of the United States to Aa1 from Aaa in May 2025, joining S&P’s 2011 move to AA+ and Fitch’s 2023 revision to AA+, with both Moody’s and Fitch maintaining stable outlooks amid balanced risks. Persistent fiscal pressures, including gross federal debt exceeding $39 trillion and projected rises in the debt-to-GDP ratio, underpin the ratings but have not triggered additional negative actions in 2026. Stable outlooks and affirmations, such as Fitch’s August 2025 confirmation, reflect market-implied odds favoring no further downgrade before 2027, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts like fresh governance shocks against ongoing deficit trajectories.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$10,721 Обс.
$10,721 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,721 Обс.
$10,721 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Sovereign credit rating agencies have aligned at lower tiers following Moody’s downgrade of the United States to Aa1 from Aaa in May 2025, joining S&P’s 2011 move to AA+ and Fitch’s 2023 revision to AA+, with both Moody’s and Fitch maintaining stable outlooks amid balanced risks. Persistent fiscal pressures, including gross federal debt exceeding $39 trillion and projected rises in the debt-to-GDP ratio, underpin the ratings but have not triggered additional negative actions in 2026. Stable outlooks and affirmations, such as Fitch’s August 2025 confirmation, reflect market-implied odds favoring no further downgrade before 2027, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts like fresh governance shocks against ongoing deficit trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,721Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Sovereign credit rating agencies have aligned at lower tiers following Moody’s downgrade of the United States to Aa1 from Aaa in May 2025, joining S&P’s 2011 move to AA+ and Fitch’s 2023 revision to AA+, with both Moody’s and Fitch maintaining stable outlooks amid balanced risks. Persistent fiscal pressures, including gross federal debt exceeding $39 trillion and projected rises in the debt-to-GDP ratio, underpin the ratings but have not triggered additional negative actions in 2026. Stable outlooks and affirmations, such as Fitch’s August 2025 confirmation, reflect market-implied odds favoring no further downgrade before 2027, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts like fresh governance shocks against ongoing deficit trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$10,721Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sovereign credit rating agencies have aligned at lower tiers following Moody’s downgrade of the United States to Aa1 from Aaa in May 2025, joining S&P’s 2011 move to AA+ and Fitch’s 2023 revision to AA+, with both Moody’s and Fitch maintaining stable outlooks amid balanced risks. Persistent fiscal pressures, including gross federal debt exceeding $39 trillion and projected rises in the debt-to-GDP ratio, underpin the ratings but have not triggered additional negative actions in 2026. Stable outlooks and affirmations, such as Fitch’s August 2025 confirmation, reflect market-implied odds favoring no further downgrade before 2027, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts like fresh governance shocks against ongoing deficit trajectories.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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