Elevated euro-area inflation, which hit 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, has driven strong trader consensus for a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April meeting minutes underscore upside risks to price stability and the need for policy tightening to anchor expectations and contain second-round effects, consistent with market-implied rate paths pricing additional moves later in 2026. This positioning reflects real-capital bets on persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns. A swift regional de-escalation easing energy costs or incoming data showing faster disinflation and sharper economic contraction could still shift the outlook ahead of the decision.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
25 bps Increase 95%
No change 4.1%
50+ bps increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$504,487 Обс.
$504,487 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
4%
25 bps Increase
95%
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps Increase 95%
No change 4.1%
50+ bps increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$504,487 Обс.
$504,487 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$99,227 Обс.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$102,854 Обс.
<1%
No change
$100,963 Обс.
4%
25 bps Increase
$117,410 Обс.
95%
50+ bps increase
$84,032 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Elevated euro-area inflation, which hit 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, has driven strong trader consensus for a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April meeting minutes underscore upside risks to price stability and the need for policy tightening to anchor expectations and contain second-round effects, consistent with market-implied rate paths pricing additional moves later in 2026. This positioning reflects real-capital bets on persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns. A swift regional de-escalation easing energy costs or incoming data showing faster disinflation and sharper economic contraction could still shift the outlook ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$504,487Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Elevated euro-area inflation, which hit 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, has driven strong trader consensus for a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April meeting minutes underscore upside risks to price stability and the need for policy tightening to anchor expectations and contain second-round effects, consistent with market-implied rate paths pricing additional moves later in 2026. This positioning reflects real-capital bets on persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns. A swift regional de-escalation easing energy costs or incoming data showing faster disinflation and sharper economic contraction could still shift the outlook ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Обсяг
$504,487Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated euro-area inflation, which hit 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, has driven strong trader consensus for a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April meeting minutes underscore upside risks to price stability and the need for policy tightening to anchor expectations and contain second-round effects, consistent with market-implied rate paths pricing additional moves later in 2026. This positioning reflects real-capital bets on persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns. A swift regional de-escalation easing energy costs or incoming data showing faster disinflation and sharper economic contraction could still shift the outlook ahead of the decision.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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